Part of: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti
This prediction market covers the Mubadala Citi DC Open match between Matteo Arnaldi and Lorenzo Musetti, scheduled for July 27, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with resolution set for August 3, 2026; the market has tracked $17,116 in smart money activity.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $47,491.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
96% winner backs Musetti
A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and $5.84M profit made a fresh $13,000 wager on Musetti amid a 232x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 155 of 162 resolved positions, with $5.84 million in lifetime profit.
- They placed a fresh $13,000 bet on Lorenzo Musetti at 62¢, close to the current 60% market price.
- Trading activity was 232 times above its historical average, adding support to the directional move.
$17,116 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable bettor scales into Musetti
A profitable serial cross-market bettor added $12.9K to an existing Musetti position at 64%, and the outcome has since risen to 78%.
- This bettor is up $116,565 across 27 resolved bets, with a 63% win rate and 47-event trading history.
- They added $12,893 to an existing Musetti position at 64%, showing increased conviction before the price rose to 78%.
- The market has moved 19.5 percentage points in a day, confirming strong momentum toward Musetti.
$12,893 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 69%
96% winner backs Musetti
A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and $5.84M profit made a fresh $13,000 wager on Musetti amid a 232x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 155 of 162 resolved positions, with $5.84 million in lifetime profit.
- They placed a fresh $13,000 bet on Lorenzo Musetti at 62¢, close to the current 60% market price.
- Trading activity was 232 times above its historical average, adding support to the directional move.
$13,000 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 96%
94% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge is buying Musetti at 60%.
- This bettor has won 199 of 211 resolved positions, with $120,451 in reported profit.
- Their average win price is just 45%, making a 60% entry on Musetti a notably confident position.
- The wallet has traded across 57 events, suggesting a broad and repeatable sports-selection process rather than a one-off bet.
$1,181 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 94%
97% winner adds to Musetti
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 97% win rate is adding to an existing Lorenzo Musetti position at near-market odds.
- This bettor has won 126 of 130 resolved trades and is up $41,096 lifetime.
- The wallet has traded across 39 markets and 38 events with a consistent 97% win rate.
- This is an add to an existing Musetti position, signaling continued conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
$1,250 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 97%
99% win-rate serial trader buys Arnaldi
An exceptionally consistent bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge is taking a fresh $2,050 position on Arnaldi at 41¢.
- This bettor has won 1,493 of 1,504 resolved positions, with $16.2M in reported profit.
- The trade is priced at 41¢ despite Arnaldi being a 40% current-market outcome, suggesting the bettor sees meaningful value.
- The wallet has traded across 528 events and 552 markets, providing an unusually large sample behind the track record.
$2,050 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 23744812, $54,982 (63% win rate)
- 0xef53...4591 — Outcome 23744812, $22,013 (94% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 23744812, $10,400 (81% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 23744812, $8,900 (58% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 23744812, $8,020 (91% win rate)
- 0x9f15...bdb3 — Outcome 23744812, $6,118 (66% win rate)
- 0xf83b...44a2 — Outcome 23744812, $5,336 (82% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 23744812, $5,000 (99% win rate)
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 23744812, $4,880 (95% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 23744812, $4,598 (68% win rate)
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