Part of: Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smith

Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smith

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $60,094.

Notable Trades

93% winner backs Lea Ma

A highly profitable 93% winner is backing Lea Ma while linked wallets create substantial one-sided flow, although the largest Lea purchases are already underwater.

A bettor who wins 93% of 86 resolved positions and is up $207,681 sold Alana Smith at 57¢, effectively backing Lea Ma near 43¢.
Three linked wallets bought $20,657 of Lea Ma, alongside a 70.6x volume spike in the match market.
The largest Lea Ma buyer entered around 73¢ and is underwater at 42¢, so the coordinated flow is compelling but not uniformly profitable.

$20,657 on Lea Ma

Linked cluster scaling into Alana Smith

A proven serial trader added to an existing Alana Smith position alongside three other wallets, including linked funding, during a sharp pre-event volume surge.

Four wallets bought Alana Smith for $14,647, with two sharing a funder.
This bettor has won 73% of 408 resolved trades and is up $88,765 lifetime.
The wallet added $4,024 at 50¢ while Alana Smith moved to 57%, amid a 70.6x volume spike.

$4,024 on Alana Smith | Wallet win rate: 72%

Linked cluster backs Alana Smith

Four linked wallets deployed $10,012 on Alana Smith, including a bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge, while the market moved sharply toward Alana.

Four linked wallets bought $10,012 of Alana Smith, with three adding to existing positions.
One bettor wins 93% of 86 resolved bets, earning $207,681 while entering at average odds of 55%.
Alana Smith’s price rose rapidly from roughly 28% to 42% as Lea Ma fell 23 percentage points.

$15,853 on Alana Smith

Large bettor drives tennis market spike

A large fresh $19.6K position from a highly active trader triggered an extreme volume spike in a relatively quiet tennis market, though the wallet's 55% win rate is only modest evidence of skill.

This trader placed $19,560 on Lea Ma, with the position representing several times the reported 24-hour volume.
The market saw a 1,937x volume spike, suggesting unusually concentrated attention before the match.
The wallet has a large $6.25M lifetime profit across 63,162 resolved bets, but its 55% win rate is not an exceptionally strong standalone edge.

$19,560 on Lea Ma | Wallet win rate: 56%

Top Holders

0xafee...881e — Outcome 31763091, $6,718 (64% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 31763091, $5,347 (65% win rate)
0xc024...cc2e — Outcome 31763091, $2,597 (98% win rate)
0x60ec...f7b0 — Outcome 31763091, $1,332 (70% win rate)
0x40f7...1f5e — Outcome 31763091, $1,250 (64% win rate)
0xd169...8ff6 — Outcome 31763091, $1,055
0x4699...5051 — Outcome 31763091, $889 (11% win rate)
0x7d8f...6dfd — Outcome 31763091, $800 (84% win rate)
0xbc83...fdd4 — Outcome 31763091, $688
0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 31763091, $561 (71% win rate)

Related Theses

Algeria Austria stays low-scoring

Covers 6 related markets

Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smith

ResolvedMubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smith$60,094 tracked4 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Lea Ma and Alana Smith in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 3:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lea Ma' if Lea Ma advances against Alana Smith. This market will resolve to 'Alana Smith' if Alana Smith advances against Lea Ma. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Alana Smith”

90¢

55¢

20¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction