Part of: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,204.

Notable Trades

Serial bettor scaling into Tabilo

A serial cross-market bettor with 351 resolved positions is adding to a Tabilo position amid a 94x pre-event volume spike, though the historical win rate does not clearly exceed average winning prices.

This bettor has traded 313 markets across 294 events and is adding to an existing $3,795 Tabilo position.
The market saw a 94x surge versus its historical trading volume, with eight trades suggesting concentrated pre-event interest.
Tabilo is being bought around 32¢, offering substantial upside if the bettor's directional thesis is correct.

$1,033 on Alejandro Tabilo | Wallet win rate: 76%

99% win-rate tennis bettor

A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge is buying Rafael Jodar at 71%.

This bettor has won 1,571 of 1,582 resolved positions for $16.4M in reported profit.
The wallet is buying $3,550 of Rafael Jodar at 71%, aligning with a strong, fresh position despite the market already pricing Jodar as a favorite.
The trader has participated across 630 events and 666 markets, indicating a broad, established track record rather than a one-off result.

$1,800 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 99%

Serial bettor scaling into Tabilo

This bettor has traded 313 markets across 294 events and is adding to an existing $3,795 Tabilo position.
The market saw a 94x surge versus its historical trading volume, with eight trades suggesting concentrated pre-event interest.
Tabilo is being bought around 32¢, offering substantial upside if the bettor's directional thesis is correct.

$4,130 on Alejandro Tabilo | Wallet win rate: 76%

Sharp bettor scaling into Tabilo

A highly profitable bettor with a 78% win rate and $336,538 lifetime profit is adding to a Tabilo position during a 94x volume spike.

This bettor wins 78% of 465 resolved trades and is up $336,538 lifetime.
They are adding to an existing Tabilo position as market activity surges to 94 times its historical average.
The trade entered at 33¢, while Tabilo is currently priced near 32¢, leaving substantial upside if the bettor’s edge is correct.

$2,500 on Alejandro Tabilo | Wallet win rate: 74%

Serial bettor scaling into Tabilo

This bettor has traded 313 markets across 294 events and is adding to an existing $3,795 Tabilo position.
The market saw a 94x surge versus its historical trading volume, with eight trades suggesting concentrated pre-event interest.
Tabilo is being bought around 32¢, offering substantial upside if the bettor's directional thesis is correct.

$1,000 on Alejandro Tabilo | Wallet win rate: 76%

Sharp bettors scaling into Jodar

A $22.2K one-sided surge from six bettors includes several highly profitable traders and a 94x volume spike, though most participants were adding to existing positions.

Six wallets added $22,226 to Rafael Jodar, including bettors with 93%, 95%, and 83% win rates over substantial samples.
The buying arrived during a 94x historical volume spike, making the coordinated flow unusually significant despite the market's strong liquidity.
Most wallets already held Jodar positions, so this is increased conviction rather than entirely fresh positioning; the group entered around 67–72¢.

$6,247 on Rafael Jodar

Profitable bettor adds to Tabilo

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 71% win rate is adding to an existing $10,000 Alejandro Tabilo position at 30%.

This bettor has won 71% of 341 resolved trades and is up $218,164 lifetime.
They are adding $3,000 to an existing $10,000 Tabilo position at 30%, signaling continued conviction.
At 30¢, the position implies roughly a 3.3x payout if Tabilo advances.

$3,000 on Alejandro Tabilo | Wallet win rate: 71%

99% win-rate tennis bettor

A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge is buying Rafael Jodar at 71%.

This bettor has won 1,571 of 1,582 resolved positions for $16.4M in reported profit.
The wallet is buying $3,550 of Rafael Jodar at 71%, aligning with a strong, fresh position despite the market already pricing Jodar as a favorite.
The trader has participated across 630 events and 666 markets, indicating a broad, established track record rather than a one-off result.

$3,550 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 99%

Profitable serial bettor adds to Jodar

A proven, highly active bettor with a 76% win rate and substantial lifetime profit is adding $3,000 to an existing Rafael Jodar position.

This bettor wins 76% of 219 resolved trades and is up $359,180 lifetime.
They are adding $3,000 to an existing Rafael Jodar position at 71¢, signaling continued conviction.
The wallet has traded across 259 events and generated a 16% edge over implied odds.

$3,000 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 78%

Serial sharp backs Jodar

A highly experienced bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial positive edge is buying Rafael Jodar at 71¢.

This bettor wins 78% of 937 resolved trades and is up nearly $497,000.
Their results imply a strong edge over the 57% average odds paid historically.
They are buying Rafael Jodar at 71¢ in a liquid market with an 80% suggested entry ceiling.

$2,000 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

0xbf00...1199 — Outcome 29370418, $22,869 (94% win rate)
0x8c0b...7aa5 — Outcome 29370418, $14,227 (59% win rate)
0x33d3...d9dc — Outcome 29370418, $12,470
0xf148...0b4f — Outcome 29370418, $10,321 (74% win rate)
0x9d8a...5201 — Outcome 29370418, $10,000 (39% win rate)
0xacf8...e791 — Outcome 29370418, $10,000 (71% win rate)
0x5455...8b2a — Outcome 29370418, $10,000 (77% win rate)
0x11cd...e5a8 — Outcome 29370418, $8,505 (61% win rate)
0x2073...385b — Outcome 29370418, $7,647 (89% win rate)
0xdb83...1e50 — Outcome 29370418, $6,729 (64% win rate)

Related Theses

G2 wins in five

Covers 4 related markets

Spirit win series 3-1

Covers 4 related markets

Bitcoin dips to $60K, not $50K

Covers 8 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dplus KIA beats KT

Covers 4 related markets

magic sweeps 9z in series

Covers 3 related markets

Dplus KIA wins in three

Covers 3 related markets

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo

ResolvedMubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo$33,204 tracked11 signalsGamesTennisSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Alejandro Tabilo in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Alejandro Tabilo. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Alejandro Tabilo”

63¢

45¢

28¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction