Part of: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen
This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Alex Michelsen in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Alex Michelsen. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $120,090.
Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Linked cluster follows elite tennis bettor
A linked 12-wallet Fritz cluster deployed $68.5K alongside a highly profitable 81% winner, while the market saw an exceptional volume spike and sharp repricing.
- Twelve linked wallets put $68,534 behind Taylor Fritz, creating strong coordinated conviction despite some opposing Michelsen flow.
- The lead bettor wins 81% of 2,281 resolved bets and has earned $5.61M in reported P&L.
- Trading surged to 98.7 times its historical pace, with Fritz reaching 66% after a major price move.
$68,534 on Taylor Fritz
Sharp bettors scaling into Michelsen
Three wallets committed $51,050 to Alex Michelsen, including a highly profitable 96% winner and an 81% winner, amid an extreme volume spike.
- A bettor with a 96% win rate and $6.27M lifetime profit committed $48,000 to Alex Michelsen.
- A second bettor with an 81% win rate also added to an existing Michelsen position.
- The $51,050 cluster drove a 369x historical volume spike, with entries averaging about 33¢ while the market is near 30¢.
$36,759 on Alex Michelsen
Sharp serial bettor adds to Fritz
A proven tennis-market bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial edge is adding $5,873 to an existing Taylor Fritz position.
- This bettor wins 77% of trades and is up $36,451 across 35 resolved positions.
- They are adding $5,873 to an existing Taylor Fritz position at 70¢, signaling increased conviction.
- The wallet has traded 26 markets across 25 events, rather than making an isolated wager.
$5,873 on Taylor Fritz | Wallet win rate: 80%
81% win-rate sharp adds to Michelsen
A highly profitable sharp bettor with an 81% win rate and 45-point edge versus average odds is adding to an existing Alex Michelsen position at 31¢.
- This bettor has won 182 of 226 positions, is up $109,030, and typically buys at an average 36% price.
- They are adding $1,500 to an existing Alex Michelsen position at 31¢ despite the market pricing him near 30%.
- The 29-event cross-market track record supports this as a deliberate directional position rather than a one-off bet.
$1,500 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp bettor scales into Fritz
A proven high-volume bettor with a 76% win rate and meaningful edge is adding $4,558 to an existing Taylor Fritz position at 69%.
- This bettor wins 76% of 213 resolved trades and is up $357,000 lifetime.
- They are adding $4,558 to an existing Taylor Fritz position, showing continued conviction at 69%.
- The wallet has traded across 255 markets, making this part of a broad, repeatable betting strategy.
$4,558 on Taylor Fritz | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable serial bettor adds to Fritz
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 72% win rate and $100K lifetime profit is adding $2,866 to an existing Taylor Fritz position at 68%.
- This bettor wins 72% of 148 resolved trades and is up $100,143 lifetime.
- The wallet is adding $2,866 to an existing Taylor Fritz position rather than taking a one-off flyer.
- The 68¢ entry is near the market price, with a 1¢ spread and substantial liquidity.
$2,866 on Taylor Fritz | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0x7d6d...2654 — Alex Michelsen, $106,296 (95% win rate)
- 0xc430...1ebf — Alex Michelsen, $69,038 (90% win rate)
- 0xf837...bd42 — Alex Michelsen, $26,597 (93% win rate)
- 0x2f93...eb20 — Alex Michelsen, $21,000 (83% win rate)
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — Alex Michelsen, $18,391 (63% win rate)
- 0xdb85...152f — Alex Michelsen, $17,857 (88% win rate)
- 0x32d2...8850 — Alex Michelsen, $6,068 (71% win rate)
- 0x88b5...a041 — Alex Michelsen, $5,342 (80% win rate)
- 0x3fa2...cf15 — Alex Michelsen, $4,839 (81% win rate)
- 0xe98c...8792 — Alex Michelsen, $3,803 (98% win rate)
Related Theses
Yastremska beats Bejlek
Covers 1 related market
Nakashima beats Cerundolo
Covers 1 related market
Sakkari beats Chwalinska
Covers 1 related market
Zverev beats Cobolli
Covers 1 related market
Colombia fails to win
Covers 1 related market
ThunderTalk Gaming Wins Match-Series
Covers 1 related market
Svitolina beats Kostyuk
Covers 1 related market
Van de Zandschulp beats Griekspoor
Covers 1 related market
Auger-Aliassime beats Tabilo
Covers 1 related market
Damm beats Ficovich in qualifying
Covers 1 related market
