Part of: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo
This market refers to the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Alejandro Tabilo in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Alejandro Tabilo. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Terence Atmane. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $169,753.
Categories: Sports, Tennis, Games
Notable Trades
Linked wallets scaling into Tabilo
A large, coordinated Tabilo position from linked wallets drove an extreme volume spike, though substantial opposing Atmane flow and existing positions reduce certainty.
- 11 wallets tied to three shared funders bought $85,529 on Alejandro Tabilo, signaling concentrated conviction.
- The trades coincided with a 765x historical volume spike and a reported 16-point Tabilo price move.
- Several wallets were adding to sizable existing Tabilo positions, while five wallets separately bought $114,419 of Atmane.
$85,529 on Alejandro Tabilo
Large wallets split on tennis match
A major pre-event volume spike and concentrated $63.6K Atmane purchase are notable, though opposing linked Tabilo flow makes the signal contested rather than clean.
- Three wallets bought $63,575 of Terence Atmane, including a $52,415 position, despite his odds falling to 40%.
- Trading volume ran at 365 times its historical average, signaling unusually strong attention before the match.
- The thesis is contested: six linked wallets also bought $21,906 of Alejandro Tabilo, so the opposing flow warrants caution.
$63,575 on Terence Atmane
97% win-rate bettor adds to Atmane
A highly profitable serial trader with a 97% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Atmane position at 54%.
- This bettor wins 97% of trades, with $80,040 in recorded profit across 29 resolved positions.
- They are adding to a $7,365 Atmane position at 54%, signaling continued conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
- The 54% entry implies the bettor sees Atmane as meaningfully undervalued relative to the market price.
$1,058 on Terence Atmane | Wallet win rate: 86%
Sharp tennis bettor buys Atmane
A highly profitable tennis bettor with an 84% win rate and $346,237 lifetime profit bought Atmane amid a 107x volume spike.
- This bettor wins 84% of 185 resolved positions and is up $346,237 lifetime.
- They are buying Terence Atmane at 56¢, matching their average winning entry price despite the market pricing the match near even.
- Trading volume is running 107 times above its historical average, adding support to the fresh position.
$2,507 on Terence Atmane | Wallet win rate: 81%
96% winner backs Tabilo
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate made a fresh $11,500 purchase of Alejandro Tabilo during an 80.6x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 161 of 168 resolved trades and earned over $6.1 million.
- The wallet placed a fresh $11,500 bet on Alejandro Tabilo at 45¢, despite paying below the roughly 46% current market odds.
- Trading activity was 80.6 times the historical average, adding support to the directional move.
$11,500 on Alejandro Tabilo | Wallet win rate: 38%
97% win-rate bettor adds to Atmane
A highly profitable serial trader with a 97% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Atmane position at 54%.
- This bettor wins 97% of trades, with $80,040 in recorded profit across 29 resolved positions.
- They are adding to a $7,365 Atmane position at 54%, signaling continued conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
- The 54% entry implies the bettor sees Atmane as meaningfully undervalued relative to the market price.
$3,977 on Terence Atmane | Wallet win rate: 86%
Sharp serial bettor adds to Atmane
A highly profitable serial trader with a 79% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Atmane position at 54%.
- This bettor wins 79% of 541 resolved trades and is up $148,784 lifetime.
- The trader has beaten implied odds by 26% while trading across 95 markets and 92 events.
- Adding $1,607 to an existing Atmane position signals continued conviction at the current 54% price.
$1,607 on Terence Atmane | Wallet win rate: 47%
Related Theses
Iraq Norway goal fest
Covers 4 related markets
Belgium dominates Iran early
Covers 4 related markets
Czechia wins big early
Covers 3 related markets
Canada Qatar first-half shootout
Covers 5 related markets
Germany wins high-scoring rout
Covers 4 related markets
France Northern Ireland goals galore
Covers 3 related markets
Norway advances in goalfest
Covers 3 related markets
USA Australia goalfest starts early
Covers 3 related markets
Belgium advances in low-scoring match
Covers 3 related markets
Chelsea-Brighton first-half goal fest
Covers 3 related markets
