Part of: MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano

MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano

This prediction market covers the MVP Fight Night matchup between Ronda Rousey and Gina Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It resolves based on the official fight result: Rousey, Carano, or 50-50 if the bout is a draw, no contest, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $2,535 in smart money and 1 signal, including alerts that sharp bettors have backed the underdog.

This market will resolve to "Rousey" if Ronda Rousey is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gina Carano at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16 2026. It will resolve to "Carano" if Gina Carano is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,471.

Categories: Sports, Carano, Rousey vs. Carano, Rousey, mma, mvp, UFC, Boxing

Notable Trades

Elite bettor backs underdog

A highly profitable 80% lifetime bettor with extensive cross-market history is taking a contrarian position on Carano at 17¢.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $2.16M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 414 events with over $6.4M in tracked cross-market volume.
  • Entry at 17¢ backs Carano as a long-shot while the market has recently moved toward Rousey.

$2,535 on Carano | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp whale backs underdog

Sharp bettor with an 80% resolved win rate and $2.16M lifetime profit is buying the underdog Carano despite Rousey being heavily favored.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $2.16M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 413 events with $6.5M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • Buying Carano at 17¢ implies they see meaningful upside against the current 84% Rousey market favorite.

$5,936 on Carano | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf438...9559 Rousey, $55,361 (42% win rate)
  2. 0x7d92...8676 Carano, $50,127 (80% win rate)
  3. 0x1117...3532 Rousey, $8,817 (61% win rate)
  4. 0x3740...c005 Carano, $7,324
  5. 0xf1ef...8cd6 Rousey, $3,396 (52% win rate)
  6. 0xd091...4715 Carano, $3,118
  7. 0x50a9...1221 Rousey, $2,000
  8. 0xd7a7...829a Carano, $1,775
  9. 0xeba4...69fb Rousey, $1,515 (52% win rate)
  10. 0xa0b0...a5fb Rousey, $1,445

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano

1h MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano$8,471 tracked2 signalsSportsCaranoRousey vs. CaranoRouseymmamvpUFCBoxing
Rousey
82¢
Carano
18¢

This market will resolve to "Rousey" if Ronda Rousey is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gina Carano at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16 2026. It will resolve to "Carano" if Gina Carano is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.

Price History — “Rousey
88¢
71¢
55¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano

2h ago

$2,535 on Carano at 17¢

17¢18¢1¢

MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano

2h ago

$5,936 on Carano at 17¢

17¢18¢1¢

Related Theses