Part of: MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano
This prediction market covers the MVP Fight Night matchup between Ronda Rousey and Gina Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It resolves based on the official fight result: Rousey, Carano, or 50-50 if the bout is a draw, no contest, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $2,535 in smart money and 1 signal, including alerts that sharp bettors have backed the underdog.
This market will resolve to "Rousey" if Ronda Rousey is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gina Carano at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16 2026. It will resolve to "Carano" if Gina Carano is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,471.
Categories: Sports, Carano, Rousey vs. Carano, Rousey, mma, mvp, UFC, Boxing
Notable Trades
Elite bettor backs underdog
A highly profitable 80% lifetime bettor with extensive cross-market history is taking a contrarian position on Carano at 17¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $2.16M lifetime.
- They have traded across 414 events with over $6.4M in tracked cross-market volume.
- Entry at 17¢ backs Carano as a long-shot while the market has recently moved toward Rousey.
$2,535 on Carano | Wallet win rate: 80%
Sharp whale backs underdog
Sharp bettor with an 80% resolved win rate and $2.16M lifetime profit is buying the underdog Carano despite Rousey being heavily favored.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $2.16M lifetime.
- They have traded across 413 events with $6.5M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Buying Carano at 17¢ implies they see meaningful upside against the current 84% Rousey market favorite.
$5,936 on Carano | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0xf438...9559 — Rousey, $55,361 (42% win rate)
- 0x7d92...8676 — Carano, $50,127 (80% win rate)
- 0x1117...3532 — Rousey, $8,817 (61% win rate)
- 0x3740...c005 — Carano, $7,324
- 0xf1ef...8cd6 — Rousey, $3,396 (52% win rate)
- 0xd091...4715 — Carano, $3,118
- 0x50a9...1221 — Rousey, $2,000
- 0xd7a7...829a — Carano, $1,775
- 0xeba4...69fb — Rousey, $1,515 (52% win rate)
- 0xa0b0...a5fb — Rousey, $1,445
