Part of: National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
This National Bank Open prediction market covers the August 6, 2026 tennis match between Alexei Popyrin and Thiago Agustin Tirante. The market resolves to the player who advances, with resolution scheduled for August 13, 2026; live odds are set by market trading, and PolySpotter tracks $28,013 in smart money across two signals.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $77,578.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Tirante flow amid major volume spike
A major volume spike and concentrated Tirante buying drove a 16-point price move, though opposing linked-wallet flow and mixed trader quality reduce conviction.
- Three wallets committed $24,133 to Tirante, with buys concentrated between 53¢ and 69¢ before the price reached 72¢.
- Trading volume was nearly 199 times its historical average, while Tirante’s odds rose about 16 percentage points.
- One participant has won 98% of 40 resolved bets, but opposing linked wallets also bought $33,048 of Popyrin, making this a contested signal.
$24,133 on Thiago Agustin Tirante
Linked cluster backs Popyrin
Four wallets, including two linked by a funder, bought Popyrin amid a 198.8x volume spike, though the new wallet lacks a track record and the position has since fallen sharply.
- Four wallets bought Alexei Popyrin, totaling $33,048, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- The trades coincided with a 198.8x surge over the market’s historical activity.
- The position was opened at 50¢ but Popyrin has since fallen to about 28¢, and this new wallet has no resolved-bet track record.
$3,880 on Alexei Popyrin
Linked wallets backing Popyrin
Three linked wallets deployed nearly $29,000 on Popyrin amid an extreme volume spike, though the traders lack a uniformly strong track record.
- Three wallets, including two sharing a funder, bought Popyrin for nearly $29,200.
- Trading activity was 772 times the historical average, suggesting unusually concentrated interest in this match.
- Two wallets are adding to existing Popyrin positions; one linked bettor is profitable overall, though the group is not uniformly sharp.
$29,167 on Alexei Popyrin
85% winner backs Popyrin
A highly profitable tennis bettor with 85% wins across 195 resolved positions made a fresh $1,025 wager on Popyrin at 52%.
- This bettor has won 85% of 195 resolved positions and earned approximately $484,000.
- They placed a fresh $1,025 bet on Popyrin at 52%, despite the market now pricing him at 49%.
- The wallet has traded across 171 events and 185 markets, indicating an established multi-market track record.
$1,025 on Alexei Popyrin | Wallet win rate: 85%
94% winner backs Tirante
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and $7.46M profit is buying Tirante at 45% in a liquid tennis market.
- This bettor has won 94% of 414 resolved positions and earned $7.46M in profit.
- The trade is a fresh $2,500 position on Tirante at 45%, despite the market pricing him at roughly 44%.
- Their 621-event history and $17.9M in cross-market trading provide unusually strong evidence of repeatable skill.
$2,500 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 94%
98% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $2,072 purchase of Alexei Popyrin at 56%.
- This bettor has won 98% of 295 resolved positions and is up $674,296.
- Their average entry is 53%, yet they win 98% of the time, indicating a substantial historical edge.
- The fresh $2,072 buy backs Alexei Popyrin at 56%, near the current market price.
$2,072 on Alexei Popyrin | Wallet win rate: 98%
99% win-rate serial bettor
A highly proven serial bettor with a 99% win rate and $16.7M lifetime profit is taking a meaningful position on the Tirante underdog.
- This bettor has won 1,681 of 1,694 resolved positions, with $16.7M in lifetime profit.
- The wallet is buying Tirante at 45¢ despite the market pricing him near 44%, signaling confidence in a close underdog position.
- This is a serial cross-market trader active across 772 events and 819 markets, rather than a one-off bettor.
$3,600 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 99%
Elite sharp backs Popyrin
A highly experienced bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial positive edge made an $11,200 fresh purchase of Alexei Popyrin at 56%.
- This bettor wins 84% of 387 resolved positions and is up $4.7M lifetime.
- They committed $11,200 to Popyrin at 56%, a meaningful fresh position despite the market's deep liquidity.
- The wallet has traded across 748 markets and 667 events, supporting a strong, repeatable track record rather than a one-off bet.
$11,200 on Alexei Popyrin | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 11512028, $54,349 (63% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 11512028, $52,857 (58% win rate)
- 0xe0ac...de2a — Outcome 96570469, $25,100
- 0xdb85...152f — Outcome 11512028, $20,000 (84% win rate)
- 0xd607...842a — Outcome 11512028, $7,761
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 11512028, $4,773 (95% win rate)
- 0x8a3a...eb9a — Outcome 11512028, $3,846 (57% win rate)
- 0x021c...232f — Outcome 11512028, $3,700 (98% win rate)
- 0x15e9...26be — Outcome 11512028, $3,000 (46% win rate)
- 0xf83b...44a2 — Outcome 11512028, $2,450 (84% win rate)
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