Part of: National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

This prediction market covers the National Bank Open tennis match between Casper Ruud and Juan Manuel Cerundolo, scheduled for August 6, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with resolution set for August 13, 2026; current market odds were not included in the supplied data. PolySpotter tracks $18,030 in smart money and one signal, including a sharp six-wallet Ruud cluster.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,030.

Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp six-wallet Ruud cluster

Six wallets concentrated $18,030 on Casper Ruud, including highly profitable bettors and a serial cross-market trader with a 95% win rate, though the market is already resolved at 100%.

  • Six wallets committed $18,030 to Casper Ruud at 70–87¢ before the outcome reached 100%.
  • The cluster included a bettor with a 99% win rate and another serial trader with a 95% win rate across 31 events.
  • The market is already resolved, so this is more useful as a study signal than a live copy opportunity.

$18,030 on Casper Ruud

96% winner adding to Ruud

A highly successful serial cross-market bettor with a 96% win rate is adding to an existing Ruud position at a price well below the current 80% market odds.

  • This bettor has won 96% of 76 resolved trades and is up $35,189 lifetime.
  • The wallet is adding to an existing Casper Ruud position at 71¢, while the market now prices Ruud near 80%.
  • The trader has placed bets across 30 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off wager.

$2,000 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2073...385b Outcome 50148091, $11,816 (91% win rate)
  2. 0x9807...157b Outcome 50148091, $1,395
  3. 0x9d47...64ee Outcome 50148091, $700
  4. 0x4dd2...9014 Outcome 50148091, $690 (61% win rate)
  5. 0x7547...d158 Outcome 50148091, $600
  6. 0x50b9...4467 Outcome 50148091, $571 (60% win rate)
  7. 0x03f4...7e44 Outcome 50148091, $500 (66% win rate)
  8. 0xa032...2090 Outcome 50148091, $320 (84% win rate)
  9. 0x191f...4a8d Outcome 50148091, $265 (71% win rate)
  10. 0xd034...eece Outcome 50148091, $200

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National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

4dNational Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo$20,030 tracked2 signalsTennisGamesSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Casper Ruud. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

3d ago

$18,030 on Casper Ruud at 70¢

National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

3d ago

$2,000 on Casper Ruud at 71¢

Related Theses