Part of: National Bank Open: Diane Parry vs Kayla Day
National Bank Open: Diane Parry vs Kayla Day
This Polymarket prediction market covers the National Bank Open match between Diane Parry and Kayla Day, scheduled for August 3, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, with the latest odds and $4,029 in tracked smart-money activity available on the market page; resolution is scheduled for August 10, 2026.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $225,946.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp exit amid seven-wallet Parry cluster
A highly profitable bettor exited a Kayla Day position while seven wallets, including linked accounts, concentrated $31,313 on Diane Parry, creating a strong coordinated directional signal despite the individual trade being profit-taking.
- Seven wallets, including two linked accounts, bought Diane Parry for a combined $31,313.
- This bettor has won 79% of 272 resolved bets and is up $710,513 lifetime.
- The individual trade was profit-taking after buying Kayla Day at 19¢, so the fresh conviction comes mainly from the coordinated Parry buying.
$4,029 on Diane Parry | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp bettor backs Diane Parry
A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and substantial edge bought Diane Parry at 66%, ahead of a move to 72%.
- This bettor wins 84% of 192 resolved positions and is up $379,708.
- The trade was placed at 66¢, while Diane Parry has since risen to 72%.
- The wallet has traded 103 markets across 78 events, indicating a broad and repeatable track record.
$2,850 on Diane Parry | Wallet win rate: 84%
96% winner backs Diane Parry
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate placed a $38.6K concentrated bet on Diane Parry at 48%, alongside a major volume spike and subsequent price rise.
- This bettor has won 167 of 174 resolved positions, earning $6.56M while buying at an average 48% price.
- The $38,643 bet was placed at 48%—747% of the market’s 24-hour volume—and the price has since risen to 56%.
- A 1,463x pre-event volume spike and extensive cross-market activity reinforce the unusually strong conviction.
$88,634 on Diane Parry | Wallet win rate: 96%
Sharp bettor backs Diane Parry
A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and substantial edge bought Diane Parry at 66%, ahead of a move to 72%.
- This bettor wins 84% of 192 resolved positions and is up $379,708.
- The trade was placed at 66¢, while Diane Parry has since risen to 72%.
- The wallet has traded 103 markets across 78 events, indicating a broad and repeatable track record.
$3,960 on Diane Parry | Wallet win rate: 84%
96% winner backs Diane Parry
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate placed a $38.6K concentrated bet on Diane Parry at 48%, alongside a major volume spike and subsequent price rise.
- This bettor has won 167 of 174 resolved positions, earning $6.56M while buying at an average 48% price.
- The $38,643 bet was placed at 48%—747% of the market’s 24-hour volume—and the price has since risen to 56%.
- A 1,463x pre-event volume spike and extensive cross-market activity reinforce the unusually strong conviction.
$38,643 on Diane Parry | Wallet win rate: 96%
Linked wallets backing Kayla Day
Eight linked wallets deployed $35.7K toward Kayla Day, including a highly profitable 85% bettor, while an opposing position was sold, indicating coordinated conviction despite the market now reaching 100%.
- Eight linked wallets committed $35.7K to Kayla Day, with entries ranging from 40¢ to 90¢.
- One participant wins 85% of 196 resolved bets and is up $406K, while another wins 93% across 99 bets.
- A $5.8K Diane Parry sale is equivalent to buying Kayla Day near 72¢, reinforcing the one-sided move.
$35,702 on Kayla Day
96% win-rate bettor buys Parry
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate and exceptional historical edge made a concentrated $48.6K bet on Diane Parry in a thin market, despite the position moving against them.
- This bettor has won 96% of 174 resolved positions and is up $6.56 million.
- They concentrated $48,643 on Diane Parry, roughly 748% of the market's 24-hour volume.
- The position was opened around 45–48¢ while Parry now trades near 32¢, creating a potentially attractive but higher-risk entry.
$48,643 on Diane Parry | Wallet win rate: 96%
95% winner scaling into Kayla Day
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate is adding to a Kayla Day position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 95% of 19 resolved positions and is up $75,216.
- They added $3,485 to Kayla Day at 58¢, reinforcing an existing $6,009 position.
- The market saw a 7,710× volume spike, while Kayla Day has risen to 68%.
$3,485 on Kayla Day | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 88503360, $35,845 (63% win rate)
- 0xe524...d34f — Outcome 88503360, $15,000 (53% win rate)
- 0x6982...a165 — Outcome 88503360, $6,061 (99% win rate)
- 0xc82a...6d00 — Outcome 88503360, $5,000
- 0xf83b...44a2 — Outcome 88503360, $3,716 (84% win rate)
- 0x7eb6...8b20 — Outcome 88503360, $3,669 (80% win rate)
- 0xfeab...9cd0 — Outcome 88503360, $3,385 (39% win rate)
- 0x7b10...acab — Outcome 88503360, $2,138 (57% win rate)
- 0x6a03...92d3 — Outcome 88503360, $1,366 (97% win rate)
- 0x712f...568c — Outcome 88503360, $1,171
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