Part of: National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
This Polymarket prediction market covers the 2026 National Bank Open match between Elina Svitolina and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro, scheduled for August 4, 2026, at 11:00 a.m. ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with resolution set for August 11, 2026; live odds and tracked smart-money activity are available on the market page.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $121,952.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster backing Bouzas Maneiro
Three wallets, including two highly profitable bettors, concentrated $11.2K on Jessica Bouzas Maneiro despite the market repricing against them.
- Three wallets committed $11,189 to Jessica Bouzas Maneiro, including a bettor with 99% wins across 1,124 resolved positions.
- The 85%-win-rate wallet has made $405,905 profit and is adding to an existing Bouzas Maneiro position.
- The coordinated buying followed an 80x volume spike, though the outcome has since fallen from 32–37% to 24%.
$6,036 on Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
99% winner adds to Jessica position
A highly profitable bettor with 99% wins across 1,124 resolved trades is adding to a Jessica Bouzas Maneiro position at 32%, despite the market pricing her at 34%.
- This bettor wins 99% of trades—1,111 of 1,124—with $787,197 in realized profit.
- They are adding $2,590 to an existing $9,557 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro position at 32%.
- The entry is below the 34% market price, offering a favorable copy point if the price remains available.
$2,590 on Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | Wallet win rate: 99%
11-wallet linked Svitolina cluster
Eleven linked wallets committed over $61,000 to Svitolina, including several profitable bettors with strong historical edges, although much of the activity adds to existing positions and the market is already at 100%.
- Eleven linked wallets committed $61,697 to Svitolina, with several proven bettors showing 78%–85% win rates and substantial profits.
- The group also sold $5,200 of Bouzas Maneiro, reinforcing the same directional thesis across both sides of the binary market.
- Most wallets already held Svitolina positions, so this reflects increased conviction rather than entirely new exposure; the market has since moved to 100%.
$61,697 on Elina Svitolina
97% winner scales into Svitolina
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 97% win rate added $44,231 to an existing Elina Svitolina position in a thin market.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades, with $922,630 in lifetime profit across 239 bets.
- They added $44,231 to Svitolina at 85¢ in a market with only $423 of 24-hour volume.
- The trade increases an existing $52,037 position, signaling continued conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
$44,231 on Elina Svitolina | Wallet win rate: 97%
94% winner adds to Svitolina
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 94% win rate is adding nearly $5,000 to an existing Svitolina position in an exceptionally low-volume market.
- This bettor has won 94% of 77 resolved trades and is up $55,088 lifetime.
- The wallet added nearly $5,000 to an existing Svitolina position, showing increased conviction rather than routine entry.
- The trade is over 11 times the market's 24-hour volume, making the bet unusually influential in this thin market.
$2,418 on Elina Svitolina | Wallet win rate: 95%
94% winner adds to Svitolina
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 94% win rate is adding nearly $5,000 to an existing Svitolina position in an exceptionally low-volume market.
- This bettor has won 94% of 77 resolved trades and is up $55,088 lifetime.
- The wallet added nearly $5,000 to an existing Svitolina position, showing increased conviction rather than routine entry.
- The trade is over 11 times the market's 24-hour volume, making the bet unusually influential in this thin market.
$4,980 on Elina Svitolina | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xf9d6...730a — Outcome 10081926, $69,783 (85% win rate)
- 0x7d78...29a5 — Outcome 10081926, $22,865 (79% win rate)
- 0x26b4...b8a9 — Outcome 10081926, $16,030 (64% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 10081926, $12,684 (62% win rate)
- 0x464f...01b7 — Outcome 10081926, $10,000
- 0x6982...a165 — Outcome 10081926, $9,557 (99% win rate)
- 0xeaac...d71d — Outcome 10081926, $5,333 (82% win rate)
- 0x21b7...c861 — Outcome 10081926, $5,000 (40% win rate)
- 0x5213...6a35 — Outcome 10081926, $4,333 (74% win rate)
- 0x30ae...4318 — Outcome 10081926, $3,000 (78% win rate)
Related Theses
Alexandrova beats Ann Li
Covers 1 related market
Iran wins on June 15
Covers 1 related market
Elias Ymer beats Visker
Covers 1 related market
Munar beats Fearnley at Wimbledon
Covers 1 related market
Zhang beats Bucsa
Covers 1 related market
Fonseca beats Mensik
Covers 1 related market
Buse beats Giron
Covers 1 related market
Argentina wins on June 16
Covers 1 related market
Acosta beats Holmgren
Covers 1 related market
Fever beat the Sparks
Covers 1 related market
