Part of: National Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton

National Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton

This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Ben Shelton in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Ben Shelton. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Jakub Mensik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $318,704.

Categories: Sports, Games, Tennis

Notable Trades

13-wallet sharp-money Mensik cluster

Thirteen wallets, including historically exceptional bettors, coordinated nearly $200,000 toward Jakub Mensik through direct buys and equivalent Ben Shelton sells.

Thirteen wallets committed $194,393 to Mensik, with linked funding indicating unusually concentrated conviction.
Several participants have exceptional records, including 94% and 95% win rates across roughly 200 resolved positions.
The effective Mensik entry was about 43¢, implying the traders valued his chances well above the market’s initial pricing.

$194,393 on Jakub Mensik

23-wallet Shelton conviction cluster

A 23-wallet linked cluster deployed $318,311 on Ben Shelton alongside a major volume spike and price surge, with this bettor re-entering at 59 cents.

Twenty-three wallets, linked through two funders, bought Ben Shelton for a combined $318,311.
This bettor has won 65% of 254 resolved trades and is up $75,080 lifetime.
The position was re-entered at 59¢ before Ben Shelton rose to 100%, amid a 16.4× volume spike.

$1,163 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 70%

Sharp bettor scaling into Mensik

A proven bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Jakub Mensik position amid an extreme volume spike.

This bettor has won 88% of 59 resolved trades and is up $16,209 while typically buying around 49% odds.
They are adding $1,039 to an existing Mensik position at 43¢, signaling continued conviction despite the market pricing him near 42%.
Trading volume is running 539.5 times its historical average, suggesting unusually strong activity around the match.

$1,039 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 88%

Sharp bettor scales into Shelton

A highly profitable bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial positive edge added roughly $105,000 to an existing Ben Shelton position.

This bettor wins 84% of 427 resolved positions and is up $5.2 million.
They added about $105,000 to an existing $180,800 Ben Shelton position, showing increased conviction.
The trades accounted for roughly 80% of the market’s 24-hour volume, despite the market having substantial liquidity.

$104,685 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 88%

95% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial trader with a 95% win rate and $7.16M lifetime P&L made a fresh $9,525 bet on Jakub Mensik at 44%.

This bettor has won 183 of 193 resolved positions and earned $7.16M in P&L.
They placed a fresh $9,525 bet on Jakub Mensik at 44%, despite the market favoring Ben Shelton at 56%.
The wallet has traded across 676 events and 718 markets, providing an unusually strong copy-trading record.

$9,525 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 38%

Sharp bettors scaling into Shelton

Three wallets added $10,933 to Ben Shelton, including two highly profitable bettors with 93% and 97% win rates, alongside an extreme volume spike.

Two bettors win 93% and 97% of their trades across more than 2,000 resolved positions combined.
Three wallets added $10,933 to Ben Shelton, with each already holding an existing Shelton position.
The trades triggered a 2,561x volume spike and represent nearly half of the market’s total volume.

$7,899 on Ben Shelton