Part of: National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech
This Polymarket prediction market covers the National Bank Open tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Magdalena Frech, scheduled for August 6, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with the market scheduled to resolve by August 13, 2026; current odds and smart-money activity are shown on the live market page.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $40,578.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp serial tennis trader
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge bought Pegula at 63%, though the market has since moved to 100%.
- This bettor wins 83% of 1,419 resolved trades and is up $428,156 lifetime.
- They bought Jessica Pegula at 63%, a position that has since moved to 100%.
- The wallet trades across 1,018 events, showing a broad and consistently successful market history.
$4,727 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 83%
Sharp bettor adds to Pegula
A highly experienced bettor with a 77% win rate and $384,080 profit is adding to an existing Pegula position at a discount after a sharp market decline.
- This bettor wins 77% of 548 resolved trades and is up $384,080 lifetime.
- They added $2,871 to an existing Pegula position at 56¢, below the current 60¢ price.
- The entry came after Pegula’s odds fell 23% over one day, signaling confidence in the dip.
$1,882 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 78%
Sharp bettor scaling into Pegula
A highly profitable sharp bettor with an 84% win rate is adding $7,600 to an existing Pegula position amid a 64.5x volume spike.
- This bettor wins 84% of trades across 203 resolved positions and is up $423,652.
- The wallet added $7,600 to an existing $20,000 Pegula position, signaling increased conviction.
- Market activity is running 64.5 times above its historical average, supporting the fresh positioning.
$7,600 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 84%
Sharp bettors scaling into Pegula
Three wallets, including two highly profitable sharp bettors, added $11.4K to Pegula despite already holding positions, with an 83%/77% win-rate track record and a major volume spike.
- Two wallets win 83% and 77% of their bets, with lifetime profits of $425K and $384K.
- Three wallets added $11,356 to Pegula, showing coordinated conviction in a liquid tennis market.
- The buys came around 56–63¢ before the market moved to roughly 70%, though all three wallets were already holding Pegula positions.
$20,831 on Jessica Pegula
Sharp bettor adds to Pegula
A highly experienced bettor with a 77% win rate and $384,080 profit is adding to an existing Pegula position at a discount after a sharp market decline.
- This bettor wins 77% of 548 resolved trades and is up $384,080 lifetime.
- They added $2,871 to an existing Pegula position at 56¢, below the current 60¢ price.
- The entry came after Pegula’s odds fell 23% over one day, signaling confidence in the dip.
$2,871 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 78%
97% win-rate serial sports bettor
A highly proven tennis-market trader with a 97% win rate and substantial edge is backing Pegula at 89%.
- This bettor has won 97% of 798 resolved positions and is up $169,786.
- Their average win price is 62%, far below the 89% entry here, indicating a proven ability to outperform market odds.
- The Pegula position is fresh conviction from a serial cross-market trader active across 88 events and 99 markets.
$1,334 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 97%
92% win-rate tennis specialist
A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and 31-point edge is buying Pegula at 89% in a liquid tennis market.
- This bettor has won 92% of 1,138 resolved positions and earned $167,931 in profit.
- Their average entry odds are 61%, yet they win 92% of bets—an unusually strong historical edge.
- They are buying Jessica Pegula at 89%, with the market also moving up 5% over the past day.
$1,334 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 75728061, $45,571 (63% win rate)
- 0x9d8a...5201 — Outcome 75728061, $4,000 (36% win rate)
- 0x464f...01b7 — Outcome 75728061, $2,358
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 75728061, $1,696 (81% win rate)
- 0x64f4...b38e — Outcome 75728061, $1,404 (92% win rate)
- 0xcf73...0215 — Outcome 75728061, $1,250 (58% win rate)
- 0x2ad5...62ff — Outcome 75728061, $1,164
- 0x1adc...b884 — Outcome 75728061, $1,122
- 0x75a7...2d61 — Outcome 75728061, $1,095 (29% win rate)
- 0xf83b...44a2 — Outcome 75728061, $973 (84% win rate)
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