Part of: National Bank Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton

National Bank Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $76,806.

Notable Trades

Sharp serial trader adding to Shelton

A proven, highly active bettor with a 79% win rate and meaningful edge added to an existing Ben Shelton position during a 32.8x volume surge.

This bettor has won 79% of 253 resolved trades and is up $91,757, entering at an average winning price of 65%.
They added $2,219 to Ben Shelton at 79% while already holding $5,482, showing increased conviction in the favorite.
Market volume is running 32.8 times its historical average, and Shelton has risen to 96% from the 79% entry.

$2,219 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 78%

Nine-wallet Shelton conviction cluster

A linked nine-wallet cluster deployed $68,347 on Ben Shelton alongside a major volume spike, with additional support from a proven 84% bettor showing substantial edge.

Nine linked wallets bought $68,347 of Ben Shelton, creating strong coordinated one-sided conviction.
A proven bettor has won 84% of 55 bets, with a $59,821 profit and average entry odds near 60%.
The market moved sharply toward Shelton, from roughly 60% entries to 86% current odds, confirming the trade's impact.

$65,621 on Ben Shelton

99% win-rate serial trader

An exceptionally profitable serial trader with a 99% win rate and 1,740 resolved positions is buying Joao Fonseca at 47%.

This bettor has won 99% of 1,740 resolved trades and is up $16.85 million.
The trader has placed $4.18 million across 836 events, making this a fresh position from a highly experienced market participant.
Joao Fonseca is being bought at 47%, near the current market price, with a liquid order book and tight 1-cent spread.

$3,525 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 99%

Serial sharp backing Shelton

A highly experienced serial trader with an 80% win rate and substantial edge is backing Ben Shelton near market price.

This bettor has won 80% of 1,062 resolved trades and earned $605,588 in profit.
Their results show a meaningful edge: they win far more often than their average 61% entry odds imply.
The trader bought Ben Shelton at 53%, making this a fresh, reasonably priced position in a liquid market.

$2,192 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 80%

95% winner backs Shelton

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $2,002 wager on Ben Shelton.

This bettor has won 95% of 1,594 resolved positions and is up $754,943 lifetime.
The wallet has historically beaten implied odds by 35 percentage points across 248 events.
The $2,002 position backs Ben Shelton at 55¢ in a liquid market with a tight 1¢ spread.

$2,002 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 94%

Elite serial bettor adds to Shelton

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an existing Ben Shelton position.

This bettor has won 93% of 1,196 resolved positions and is up $193,523.
The wallet is adding to an existing Ben Shelton position, showing continued conviction at 55¢.
It has traded across 97 events, providing unusually strong evidence beyond a single bet.

$1,247 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

0xdb85...152f — Outcome 98381783, $30,000 (85% win rate)
0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 98381783, $24,874 (71% win rate)
0x3cd6...18e4 — Outcome 98381783, $15,935 (90% win rate)
0x9f15...bdb3 — Outcome 98381783, $13,897 (75% win rate)
0xf3a1...bf4b — Outcome 98381783, $13,412 (98% win rate)
0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 98381783, $7,609 (94% win rate)
0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 98381783, $7,500 (99% win rate)
0xf83b...44a2 — Outcome 98381783, $7,410 (85% win rate)
0xe585...09ef — Outcome 98381783, $7,076 (79% win rate)
0x26b4...b8a9 — Outcome 98381783, $6,696 (60% win rate)

Related Theses

National Bank Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton

ResolvedNational Bank Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton$76,806 tracked6 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Fonseca and Ben Shelton in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Ben Shelton. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Joao Fonseca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Ben Shelton”

102¢

75¢

49¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction