Part of: National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys

National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys

This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Madison Keys in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marta Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Madison Keys. This market will resolve to 'Madison Keys' if Madison Keys advances against Marta Kostyuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $127,137.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Linked cluster led by 96% winner

A linked five-wallet cluster deployed $63.9K on Madison Keys, led by a bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial historical edge.

A bettor with 170 wins in 177 resolved positions and a $6.86M profit led the largest $49,642 buy.
Five wallets backed Madison Keys with $63,907 total, including wallets linked to two common funders.
The cluster bought around 46¢ while Keys is priced near 44%, following a 140.9x surge in market activity.

$11,455 on Madison Keys

96% win-rate serial bettor backs Keys

A highly profitable serial trader with a 96% win rate and $6.87M lifetime profit made a concentrated $49.3K bet on Madison Keys amid a major volume spike.

This bettor has won 170 of 177 resolved positions, with $6.87M in lifetime profit.
The $49.3K Madison Keys bet accounts for 93.4% of 24-hour market volume, showing strong conviction.
The market saw a 376x historical volume spike, while Madison Keys is now priced below the bettor’s 47¢ entry.

$49,642 on Madison Keys | Wallet win rate: 38%

Serial sharp scaling into Kostyuk

A proven 82% bettor with substantial positive edge is adding to a Kostyuk position at 56%, though existing exposure on both sides makes the thesis less clean.

This bettor has won 82% of 124 resolved trades and is up nearly $70,000.
The $3,360 purchase represented about 70% of the detected 24-hour volume, showing meaningful conviction in a relatively quiet market.
The wallet has traded across 39 markets in 38 events, but already holds positions on both players, suggesting some hedging rather than a pure one-sided bet.

$3,253 on Marta Kostyuk | Wallet win rate: 81%

96% win-rate serial bettor backs Keys

A highly profitable serial trader with a 96% win rate and $6.87M lifetime profit made a concentrated $49.3K bet on Madison Keys amid a major volume spike.

This bettor has won 170 of 177 resolved positions, with $6.87M in lifetime profit.
The $49.3K Madison Keys bet accounts for 93.4% of 24-hour market volume, showing strong conviction.
The market saw a 376x historical volume spike, while Madison Keys is now priced below the bettor’s 47¢ entry.

$49,332 on Madison Keys | Wallet win rate: 38%

Sharp bettor adds to Madison Keys

A highly profitable serial trader with an 89% win rate is adding to a Madison Keys position amid a 376x event-volume spike.

This bettor has won 89% of 93 resolved positions and is up $141,033.
They are adding to an existing Madison Keys position at 46¢, signaling continued conviction.
The market saw a 376x historical volume spike, while Madison Keys remains priced around 44%.

$2,115 on Madison Keys | Wallet win rate: 91%

Sharp bettor scaling into Kostyuk

A highly profitable serial trader with 563 resolved bets and a substantial edge is adding to an existing Marta Kostyuk position at 56%.

This bettor wins 79% of 563 resolved bets and is up $153,400 lifetime.
Their results show a 26-point edge over implied odds, and they have traded across 108 events.
They are adding $1,481 to an existing $2,645 Kostyuk position at 56%, signaling continued conviction.

$1,481 on Marta Kostyuk | Wallet win rate: 47%

94% win-rate serial bettor

A highly proven bettor with 94% wins and a substantial positive edge is making a fresh $5,000 bet on Marta Kostyuk.

This bettor has won 94% of 405 resolved positions and earned $7.4 million in profit.
The wallet has traded across 606 events and 863 markets, showing a broad and sustained track record rather than a one-off result.
The fresh $5,000 purchase backs Marta Kostyuk at 56%, while the market remains liquid with a tight 1-cent spread.

$5,000 on Marta Kostyuk | Wallet win rate: 93%

Serial sharp scaling into Kostyuk

A proven 82% bettor with substantial positive edge is adding to a Kostyuk position at 56%, though existing exposure on both sides makes the thesis less clean.

This bettor has won 82% of 124 resolved trades and is up nearly $70,000.
The $3,360 purchase represented about 70% of the detected 24-hour volume, showing meaningful conviction in a relatively quiet market.
The wallet has traded across 39 markets in 38 events, but already holds positions on both players, suggesting some hedging rather than a pure one-sided bet.

$3,360 on Marta Kostyuk | Wallet win rate: 81%

94% winner adds to Madison Keys

A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate is adding to a Madison Keys position in a relatively thin tennis market.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades—84 of 89—with $69,370 in reported profit.
The $1,500 purchase adds to an existing $3,261 Madison Keys position, signaling increased conviction at 46¢.
The bet represents roughly 31% of the market’s $4,834 in 24-hour volume, making the move notable in this relatively thin market.

$1,500 on Madison Keys | Wallet win rate: 91%