Part of: National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic
National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic
This prediction market covers the National Bank Open tennis match between Michael Zheng and Miomir Kecmanovic, scheduled for August 2, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution by August 9, 2026; $10,572 in smart money and three signals are tracked.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $72,404.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettors lead Kecmanovic cluster
Four wallets placed $7.1K on Kecmanovic, including two highly profitable bettors, amid a 687x volume spike and a sharp market move.
- Two established bettors are involved: one wins 79% across 268 bets with $702K profit, while another wins 77% across 217 bets.
- Four wallets committed $7,134 to Kecmanovic, with the market moving from roughly 42% to 62% after the flow.
- The trade entered around 47¢ on average, implying substantial upside if Kecmanovic's current 62% price remains justified.
$5,843 on Miomir Kecmanovic
Sharp serial bettor backs Kecmanovic
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial positive edge made a contrarian $2,170 tennis wager amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 79% of 268 resolved positions and is up $702,269 lifetime.
- A $2,170 wager on Miomir Kecmanovic was placed at 49% despite the market currently pricing him near 39%.
- The market saw a 974x historical volume spike, adding weight to the otherwise contrarian position.
$2,170 on Miomir Kecmanovic | Wallet win rate: 79%
Early Zheng position amid volume spike
A sharp-looking volume spike and profitable early entry support this added position, though the wallet's long-term record is only modestly above break-even.
- The trader bought Michael Zheng at 54¢, while the market now prices him at 61¢.
- Trading volume was 974 times the historical average, suggesting an unusual surge of interest before the match.
- This wallet has made 1,637 resolved bets and is up $883, though its 56% win rate is only moderately strong.
$1,268 on Michael Zheng | Wallet win rate: 57%
96% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly profitable serial trader with a 96% win rate and $6.5M lifetime profit made a concentrated $19.1K bet on Kecmanovic despite the price moving against the position.
- This bettor has won 166 of 173 resolved trades, with $6.5M in lifetime profit.
- They concentrated $19,106 on Miomir Kecmanovic at 48–50%, despite the market now pricing him at 44%.
- The wallet has traded across 626 markets and 584 events, suggesting an unusually active, experienced bettor rather than a one-off position.
$30,989 on Miomir Kecmanovic | Wallet win rate: 96%
Four bettors scaling into Michael Zheng
Four experienced bettors added $5.6k to Michael Zheng, including a highly profitable 76% winner with a substantial edge, while the price rose from 55-59% to 64%.
- Four wallets added $5,621 to Michael Zheng at 55-59%, and all already held positions on the same outcome.
- One bettor wins 76% of 133 bets at average odds of 58% and is up $81,318.
- The market has since moved to 64%, corroborating the coordinated buying conviction.
$7,740 on Michael Zheng
Proven bettor scaling into Zheng
A proven, profitable serial cross-market bettor is adding to Michael Zheng at 55% amid an extraordinary volume spike.
- This bettor wins 76% of 133 resolved trades and is up $81,318 lifetime.
- They are adding to an existing Michael Zheng position at 55%, below the current 60% market price.
- Trading volume was 1,366 times the historical average, suggesting unusually strong attention around the match.
$1,200 on Michael Zheng | Wallet win rate: 79%
96% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly profitable serial trader with a 96% win rate and $6.5M lifetime profit made a concentrated $19.1K bet on Kecmanovic despite the price moving against the position.
- This bettor has won 166 of 173 resolved trades, with $6.5M in lifetime profit.
- They concentrated $19,106 on Miomir Kecmanovic at 48–50%, despite the market now pricing him at 44%.
- The wallet has traded across 626 markets and 584 events, suggesting an unusually active, experienced bettor rather than a one-off position.
$19,106 on Miomir Kecmanovic | Wallet win rate: 96%
Proven bettor scales into Zheng
A proven high-volume bettor with a 76% win rate and positive edge is adding $4,088 to an existing Michael Zheng position at 58%.
- This bettor wins 76% of 220 resolved trades and is up $360,406 lifetime.
- They are adding $4,088 to an existing Michael Zheng position despite the market sitting slightly below their 58¢ entry.
- The trade is unusually large relative to the market’s $3,233 in 24-hour volume.
$4,088 on Michael Zheng | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 86123504, $74,154 (96% win rate)
- 0xca97...49f6 — Outcome 86123504, $13,241 (85% win rate)
- 0xf519...906b — Outcome 86123504, $6,056 (73% win rate)
- 0x088b...21cc — Outcome 86123504, $4,547 (44% win rate)
- 0x7300...e52c — Outcome 86123504, $3,732
- 0xa042...cba4 — Outcome 86123504, $3,700 (90% win rate)
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 86123504, $3,510 (95% win rate)
- 0xf32d...bbbb — Outcome 86123504, $2,360 (57% win rate)
- 0x772b...1840 — Outcome 86123504, $2,028 (79% win rate)
- 0x1021...e648 — Outcome 86123504, $1,841
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