Part of: National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca

National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca

This prediction market covers the National Bank Open match between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Joao Fonseca, scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances; the metadata reports $2,500 in tracked smart money across one signal, with no current market price provided.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,115.

Categories: Games, Tennis, Sports

Notable Trades

Linked cluster backs Tsitsipas

A proven profitable bettor added to an existing Tsitsipas position as 10 linked wallets concentrated $26,316 on the same side amid a 21.4x volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 71% of 357 resolved trades and is up $231,702 lifetime.
  • Ten wallets linked through four funders bought Tsitsipas, totaling $26,316 in coordinated conviction.
  • The trade added to an existing Tsitsipas position at 45¢ during a 21.4x volume spike versus historical activity.

$2,500 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 71%

99% win-rate serial bettor

An exceptionally proven serial trader with a 99% win rate and $16.6M profit is buying Tsitsipas at 42%, signaling substantial confidence.

  • This bettor wins 99% of trades across 1,650 resolved positions and is up $16.6M.
  • The wallet has traded across 714 events and 758 markets, providing unusually strong evidence of a repeatable edge.
  • Tsitsipas is being bought at 42%, despite the market favoring Fonseca at 58%.

$2,800 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 99%

92% winner scaling into Fonseca

A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Joao Fonseca position at 58%.

  • This bettor wins 92% of 1,138 resolved positions and is up $167,931 lifetime.
  • They are adding $1,309 to an existing $2,436 Joao Fonseca position, signaling increased conviction.
  • The entry is 58¢, matching current market odds, with a relatively tight 1¢ spread.

$1,309 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 92%

91% winner backs Tsitsipas

A highly proven bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial positive edge is making a fresh $1,050 purchase of Tsitsipas at 42%.

  • This bettor wins 91% of 4,238 resolved positions and is up $2.75 million lifetime.
  • The trader has historically paid about 49% on average, making this 42% entry notably attractive by comparison.
  • A serial cross-market bettor active across 285 events is taking a fresh position on Tsitsipas.

$1,050 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 91%

99% win-rate serial bettor

An exceptionally proven serial trader with a 99% win rate and $16.6M profit is buying Tsitsipas at 42%, signaling substantial confidence.

  • This bettor wins 99% of trades across 1,650 resolved positions and is up $16.6M.
  • The wallet has traded across 714 events and 758 markets, providing unusually strong evidence of a repeatable edge.
  • Tsitsipas is being bought at 42%, despite the market favoring Fonseca at 58%.

$2,100 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 99%

95% win-rate tennis bettor

A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and $692,477 profit is taking a fresh $1,278 position on Joao Fonseca at 58%.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 1,500 resolved positions and earned $692,477 in profit.
  • They are making a fresh $1,278 bet on Joao Fonseca at 58%, matching the market’s current implied probability.
  • The wallet has traded across 236 markets and 220 events, suggesting broad, repeatable experience rather than a one-off bet.

$1,278 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 95%

Proven sharp backs Fonseca

A highly profitable, proven bettor made a concentrated $5,078 wager on Joao Fonseca in a thin market, with strong historical edge and extensive cross-market activity.

  • This bettor has won 83% of 361 resolved positions and is up $4.22 million.
  • They put $5,078 on Joao Fonseca at 57¢—over 2.7 times the market’s recent 24-hour volume.
  • The wallet has traded 714 markets across 636 events, suggesting substantial experience rather than a one-off bet.

$5,078 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0x59ab...f844 Outcome 67827277, $65,882 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xdc41...dd7e Outcome 67827277, $12,835 (66% win rate)
  3. 0x32b4...8b21 Outcome 67827277, $9,456 (57% win rate)
  4. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 67827277, $8,053 (72% win rate)
  5. 0x59f4...c1f1 Outcome 67827277, $7,500 (56% win rate)
  6. 0x4afb...ed2b Outcome 67827277, $6,380 (43% win rate)
  7. 0xacf8...e791 Outcome 67827277, $5,556 (71% win rate)
  8. 0xa9c4...7433 Outcome 67827277, $4,553 (77% win rate)
  9. 0xe394...289c Outcome 67827277, $4,000 (85% win rate)
  10. 0x21b7...c861 Outcome 67827277, $3,500 (40% win rate)

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National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca

3dNational Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca$16,115 tracked7 signalsGamesTennisSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Joao Fonseca in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Joao Fonseca. This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Joao Fonseca
60¢
58¢
55¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca

2d ago

$2,500 on Stefanos Tsitsipas at 45¢

National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca

3d ago

$2,800 on Stefanos Tsitsipas at 42¢

National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca

3d ago

$1,309 on Joao Fonseca at 58¢

National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca

3d ago

$1,050 on Stefanos Tsitsipas at 42¢

National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca

3d ago

$2,100 on Stefanos Tsitsipas at 42¢

National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca

3d ago

$1,278 on Joao Fonseca at 58¢

National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca

4d ago

$5,078 on Joao Fonseca at 57¢

Related Theses