Part of: National Bank Open: Tatjana Maria vs Caty McNally

National Bank Open: Tatjana Maria vs Caty McNally

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $103,439.

Notable Trades

Sharp market surge toward Maria

A 453x pre-event volume spike and 28-point price jump accompany a fresh $3,154 Maria bet, creating a meaningful momentum signal despite the wallet's only moderate edge.

Trading surged to 453x its historical average before the match, suggesting unusually strong positioning.
Maria rose from 68¢ to 72% after this $3,154 purchase, a 28-point move in the market.
The wallet has made over $31.9M in cross-market trades, though its 55% win rate is only moderate.

$1,367 on Tatjana Maria | Wallet win rate: 56%

Sharp market surge toward Maria

A 453x pre-event volume spike and 28-point price jump accompany a fresh $3,154 Maria bet, creating a meaningful momentum signal despite the wallet's only moderate edge.

Trading surged to 453x its historical average before the match, suggesting unusually strong positioning.
Maria rose from 68¢ to 72% after this $3,154 purchase, a 28-point move in the market.
The wallet has made over $31.9M in cross-market trades, though its 55% win rate is only moderate.

$3,154 on Tatjana Maria | Wallet win rate: 56%

94% bettor led Caty concentration

A highly accurate bettor and several linked wallets concentrated nearly $87,000 on Caty McNally, though the market is now settled at 100% and the signal is primarily useful for retrospective study.

A bettor with a 94% win rate across 84 resolved bets bought $7,000 of Caty McNally at 62¢.
Seven wallets placed $86,918 of Caty McNally exposure, with three linked to a shared funder.
The market is now settled at 100%, so this is not an actionable entry despite the strong historical signal.

$86,918 on Caty McNally

94% winner scales into Caty

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate is adding $7,000 to an existing Caty McNally position in a relatively thin market.

This bettor has won 94% of 81 resolved positions and is up $50,182 lifetime.
They added $7,000 to an existing Caty McNally position, bringing total investment to over $19,000.
The new bet represented roughly 588% of the reported 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin market.

$2,000 on Caty McNally | Wallet win rate: 95%

94% winner scales into Caty

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate is adding $7,000 to an existing Caty McNally position in a relatively thin market.

This bettor has won 94% of 81 resolved positions and is up $50,182 lifetime.
They added $7,000 to an existing Caty McNally position, bringing total investment to over $19,000.
The new bet represented roughly 588% of the reported 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin market.

$7,000 on Caty McNally | Wallet win rate: 95%

95% tennis bettor adds to McNally

A highly profitable tennis bettor with a 95% win rate is adding $3,000 to an existing Caty McNally position in a relatively quiet market.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved positions, with $657,910 in reported profit across 1,442 bets.
They added $3,000 to Caty McNally at 60¢, reinforcing an existing $5,008 position.
The trade is large relative to the market’s $1,190 in 24-hour volume, despite a liquid order book.

$3,000 on Caty McNally | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 17162282, $45,949 (64% win rate)
0x9d8a...5201 — Outcome 17162282, $4,845 (38% win rate)
0xfb07...e2cc — Outcome 17162282, $1,815
0xfff3...e2c5 — Outcome 17162282, $1,384 (84% win rate)
0x6a00...9158 — Outcome 17162282, $1,351
0x6a03...92d3 — Outcome 17162282, $1,188 (96% win rate)
0xdbdd...a5de — Outcome 17162282, $1,123 (59% win rate)
0xe9f5...3e7a — Outcome 17162282, $1,085 (62% win rate)
0x7b10...acab — Outcome 17162282, $1,059 (58% win rate)
0x9f15...bdb3 — Outcome 17162282, $807 (75% win rate)

Related Theses

Zhu Kangjie beats Rodrigo Vera

Covers 1 related market

National Bank Open: Tatjana Maria vs Caty McNally

ResolvedNational Bank Open: Tatjana Maria vs Caty McNally$103,439 tracked6 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Caty McNally in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tatjana Maria' if Tatjana Maria advances against Caty McNally. This market will resolve to 'Caty McNally' if Caty McNally advances against Tatjana Maria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Caty McNally”

64¢

56¢

49¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction