Part of: National Bank Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor Fritz
National Bank Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor Fritz
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Taylor Fritz in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Taylor Fritz. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $66,906.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor joins 19-wallet Fritz cluster
A highly profitable serial trader added to an existing Taylor Fritz position amid coordinated buying by 19 wallets.
- This bettor wins 84% of 353 resolved trades and is up $193,499.
- They added $1,400 to an existing Taylor Fritz position while 19 wallets bought Fritz for $79,162 combined.
- The entry at 46¢ implies the traders saw substantial value before the market moved sharply against Taylor Fritz.
$1,400 on Taylor Fritz | Wallet win rate: 87%
Linked wallets scaling into Tirante
Eight linked wallets deployed $43,729 behind Tirante, with several highly profitable bettors adding to positions before the market moved 40 percentage points to a resolved 100%.
- Eight wallets tied to two funders committed $43,729 to Tirante, creating a concentrated directional signal.
- Several participants have substantial lifetime profits, including one with $2.8M P&L and another with $820K P&L.
- Tirante has already repriced from roughly 60% to 100%, so the thesis is notable but no longer attractive to chase at current odds.
$43,729 on Thiago Agustin Tirante
Sharp bettor joins seven-wallet Fritz push
A highly profitable bettor with an 83% win rate bought Taylor Fritz at 51¢ alongside six other wallets during a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 83% of trades across 366 resolved bets and is up $4.28 million.
- They placed a $15,000 buy on Taylor Fritz at 51¢, with six other wallets taking the same side.
- Trading volume spiked to 129.5 times its historical average, reinforcing the coordinated move.
$15,000 on Taylor Fritz | Wallet win rate: 88%
Sharp five-wallet Fritz cluster
Five wallets, including several highly profitable sharp bettors, concentrated $18.6K into Taylor Fritz at 46% after a sharp price decline.
- Five wallets committed $18,636 to Taylor Fritz, including bettors with 83%, 88%, and 96% win rates.
- The strongest wallets are adding to existing Fritz positions after the price fell sharply to 46%, signaling continued conviction.
- The 96%-win-rate bettor is up $107K across 28 resolved positions, while another 88%-win-rate bettor is up $343K.
$6,777 on Taylor Fritz
Top Holders
- 0xdb85...152f — Taylor Fritz, $29,486 (88% win rate)
- 0x772b...1840 — Taylor Fritz, $12,638 (79% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Taylor Fritz, $9,626 (58% win rate)
- 0x402e...0b9a — Taylor Fritz, $9,520
- 0xbdb0...f8ba — Taylor Fritz, $8,000 (88% win rate)
- 0xf3a1...bf4b — Taylor Fritz, $6,383 (96% win rate)
- 0xf83b...44a2 — Taylor Fritz, $4,871 (87% win rate)
- 0x1adc...b884 — Taylor Fritz, $2,065
- 0x61f1...7aef — Taylor Fritz, $1,807 (93% win rate)
- 0x3453...8524 — Taylor Fritz, $1,786 (97% win rate)
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