Part of: National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone
This prediction market covers the National Bank Open tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Mariano Navone, scheduled for August 6, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, or under the exchange’s stated rules if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than seven days; $57,720 in smart money is currently tracked across one signal.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $825,312.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
97% winner scaling into Vacherot
A highly profitable 97% win-rate bettor is adding $11,157 to Vacherot at 61¢, well below their average winning entry price.
- This bettor has won 237 of 245 resolved trades for $925,135 in profit.
- They added $11,157 to an existing Vacherot position at 61¢, showing increased conviction.
- The 61¢ entry is materially below their 78¢ average winning price, despite the market already favoring Vacherot.
$57,720 on Valentin Vacherot | Wallet win rate: 97%
96% win-rate bettor backs Vacherot
A highly profitable serial trader with a 96% win rate and substantial edge placed a fresh $10,000 bet on Valentin Vacherot.
- This bettor has won 169 of 176 resolved trades, with $6.77 million in reported profit.
- The wallet has made $22.3 million across 614 events and is taking a fresh $10,000 position here.
- Buying at 60¢ implies the bettor sees meaningful value on Valentin Vacherot despite the market already pricing him as a 60% favorite.
$13,586 on Valentin Vacherot | Wallet win rate: 96%
Three-wallet Vacherot buying cluster
A three-wallet, one-sided $94k surge and 999x volume spike support fresh coordinated conviction on Vacherot, although the lead wallet has only a modest historical win rate.
- Three wallets bought Vacherot for $94,441 in the same direction, including $70,012 from this bettor.
- Market activity was nearly 999 times its historical average, and Vacherot has risen from the 60¢ entry to 68¢.
- The bettor is adding to an existing $1.08 million Vacherot position, showing substantial conviction despite a 52% lifetime win rate.
$70,012 on Valentin Vacherot | Wallet win rate: 47%
29-wallet linked Navone conviction
A linked 29-wallet cluster deployed $530,000 on Mariano Navone, with large bets around 39% preceding a move to 100%.
- 29 linked wallets collectively bought $529,925 of Mariano Navone, including a $328,414 position from one wallet around 39¢.
- The coordinated flow coincided with a roughly 50-point rise in Navone's price, while opposing Vacherot positions were sold.
- Several participating bettors have substantial profitable histories, including one with 9,779 wins and $5.7 million in lifetime profit.
$529,925 on Mariano Navone
96% win-rate bettor backs Vacherot
A highly profitable serial trader with a 96% win rate and substantial edge placed a fresh $10,000 bet on Valentin Vacherot.
- This bettor has won 169 of 176 resolved trades, with $6.77 million in reported profit.
- The wallet has made $22.3 million across 614 events and is taking a fresh $10,000 position here.
- Buying at 60¢ implies the bettor sees meaningful value on Valentin Vacherot despite the market already pricing him as a 60% favorite.
$10,000 on Valentin Vacherot | Wallet win rate: 96%
97% winner scaling into Vacherot
A highly profitable 97% win-rate bettor is adding $11,157 to Vacherot at 61¢, well below their average winning entry price.
- This bettor has won 237 of 245 resolved trades for $925,135 in profit.
- They added $11,157 to an existing Vacherot position at 61¢, showing increased conviction.
- The 61¢ entry is materially below their 78¢ average winning price, despite the market already favoring Vacherot.
$21,879 on Valentin Vacherot | Wallet win rate: 97%
97% winner scaling into Vacherot
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 97% win rate added nearly $63,000 to an existing Vacherot position during a 333x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 97% of 245 resolved trades and is up $925,135.
- They added nearly $63,000 to an existing Vacherot position, signaling increased conviction rather than a routine first entry.
- The market saw a 333x historical volume spike while Vacherot traded around 62¢.
$62,949 on Valentin Vacherot | Wallet win rate: 97%
97% winner scales into Vacherot
A highly profitable serial trader with a 97% win rate added $41,000 to an existing Vacherot position during an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 97% of 245 resolved trades and earned $925,135 in profit.
- They added $41,070 to an existing Vacherot position, showing increased conviction rather than routine position opening.
- The three trades arrived during a 11,925x historical volume spike, with Vacherot priced at 62%.
$41,071 on Valentin Vacherot | Wallet win rate: 97%
97% winner scaling into Vacherot
A highly profitable 97% win-rate bettor is adding $11,157 to Vacherot at 61¢, well below their average winning entry price.
- This bettor has won 237 of 245 resolved trades for $925,135 in profit.
- They added $11,157 to an existing Vacherot position at 61¢, showing increased conviction.
- The 61¢ entry is materially below their 78¢ average winning price, despite the market already favoring Vacherot.
$11,157 on Valentin Vacherot | Wallet win rate: 97%
Two elite bettors back Vacherot
A concentrated $4,677 bet on Vacherot includes two highly profitable bettors with 92% and 97% win rates, making this a strong tennis signal despite one wallet already holding the position.
- Two bettors with 92% and 97% win rates are buying Vacherot at 63–64¢.
- Three wallets placed $4,677 on the same player, equivalent to roughly 298% of the detected 24-hour volume.
- One wallet is adding to an existing Vacherot position, while the other sharp bettors appear to be initiating fresh exposure.
$5,453 on Valentin Vacherot
Top Holders
- 0xf958...db13 — Outcome 27379662, $24,053 (43% win rate)
- 0xf519...906b — Outcome 27379662, $15,000 (72% win rate)
- 0x3193...ed9e — Outcome 27379662, $11,697 (95% win rate)
- 0xdbbb...05a8 — Outcome 27379662, $8,281 (78% win rate)
- 0x9870...b9d3 — Outcome 27379662, $5,500 (55% win rate)
- 0xc711...e86e — Outcome 27379662, $4,839 (100% win rate)
- 0xf83b...44a2 — Outcome 27379662, $4,608 (84% win rate)
- 0x6319...d371 — Outcome 27379662, $3,350 (84% win rate)
- 0xd231...633c — Outcome 27379662, $2,800 (73% win rate)
- 0x772b...1840 — Outcome 27379662, $2,778 (79% win rate)
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