Part of: NATO article 5 before 2027?
NATO article 5 before 2027?
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,000.
Categories: Politics, Foreign Policy, World, Geopolitics, NATO
Notable Trades
93% winner buying No
Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a very strong resolved-bet record and is putting $5k into No on a relatively quiet geopolitical market.
- This bettor has won 93% of 184 resolved bets and is up $27k lifetime.
- They put $5k on No, nearly 2x the detected 24h volume for this quiet market.
- Entry at 86¢ shows they are backing the high-probability side but still see value before 2027.
$5,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0x11fc...dc48 — No, $22,316 (52% win rate)
- 0x93fb...3e4a — Yes, $22,039 (32% win rate)
- 0x8fe7...4f20 — Yes, $11,690 (62% win rate)
- 0xdd1d...bbf0 — No, $6,540 (81% win rate)
- 0x1de9...831d — No, $6,050 (93% win rate)
- 0xfd0e...d918 — No, $3,000 (75% win rate)
- 0x9178...a2b2 — Yes, $2,769 (18% win rate)
- 0x0cad...5dd0 — Yes, $2,398
- 0x629b...995a — No, $1,551 (57% win rate)
- 0x5d81...11a2 — Yes, $1,508
