Part of: Netherlands vs. Sweden - More Markets
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $133,584.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
Perfect-record bettor joins Over cluster
High-conviction Over flow from six wallets includes a 35-for-35 profitable bettor and has already driven the price from about 58% to 80%.
- A bettor who is 35-for-35 with $32.9K profit bought nearly $5K of Over.
- Six wallets put $17.9K on the same side, mostly entering around 57–59¢ before the market jumped to 80¢.
- This market saw a 12.8x volume spike and the Over price is up 46 points in one day.
$17,905 on Over
Profitable cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought Under at 28¢ alongside one-sided flow, with the position already moving to 42¢.
- This bettor has a long Polymarket record, up $172,785 across 120 resolved bets.
- They are active across 5 markets in this same event, with $27,012 positioned and a 58% historical win rate.
- Three wallets bought the same Under side for $6,661, and this entry has already moved from 28¢ to 42¢.
$1,164 on Under | Wallet win rate: 59%
95% winner buying Over
Elite 95% win-rate wallet with nearly $6M profit made a large Over bet alongside one-sided cluster flow and major pre-event volume spikes.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved positions and is up about $6.0M lifetime.
- They put nearly $95K on Over, adding conviction despite the market now pricing it around 36%.
- Three wallets are all buying the same side, with about $138K total on Over.
$94,951 on Over | Wallet win rate: 95%
86% sports winner backs Under
Sharp sports bettor with an 86% win rate and strong positive P&L bought $5k of Under in a liquid World Cup totals market.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $68k lifetime.
- They have traded across 210 events with the same 86% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- A $5k buy on Under at 64¢ goes against recent Over momentum, implying confidence in a lower-scoring match.
$5,014 on Under | Wallet win rate: 86%
Proven sharp buying Over
Proven sharp sports bettor with a 76% record and nearly $390k profit is buying Over despite a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up about $390k lifetime.
- They have traded nearly $1M across 198 events, showing a long track record rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 38¢ implies they see the Over as underpriced versus the current mid-30s market.
$1,991 on Over | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable cluster buying Under
Surfacing due to a $20k three-wallet Under cluster backed by a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor and a 93x pre-event volume spike.
- A bettor up $1.9M lifetime is part of this Under push, with 66% wins across 1,381 resolved bets.
- Three wallets bought $20k of Under at 64¢ shortly before kickoff.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running 93x above its historical average.
$6,535 on Under
Proven sports sharp
Highly profitable sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $1.85M lifetime profit bought Under 3.5, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up about $1.85M lifetime.
- They have bet across 180 events and 244 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off guess.
- They bought Under at 63¢, implying confidence in a lower-scoring Netherlands-Sweden match.
$2,625 on Under | Wallet win rate: 76%
92% winner buying goals
A highly proven sports bettor with a 92% win rate and +$79.5k lifetime P&L bought Over 3.5 at 37¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $79.5k lifetime.
- They have a large sample: 259 wins out of 280 resolved positions.
- Buying Over at 37¢ implies a roughly 2.7x payout if the match reaches 4 goals.
$1,511 on Over | Wallet win rate: 93%
88% winner buying Under
A proven sports bettor with an 88% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Under 3.5 at 64%, making this a copy-worthy sharp-wallet signal.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $2,912 lifetime.
- Their wins came at average 54¢ odds, suggesting they have beaten market prices by a wide margin.
- They bought Under at 64¢ in a liquid market with tight spreads, so the entry is still easy to follow.
$1,888 on Under | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xabb8...bba3 — Outcome 97836627, $90,892 (48% win rate)
- 0xcb58...43c2 — Outcome 97836627, $27,575 (100% win rate)
- 0x076d...8d4c — Outcome 97836627, $9,837 (63% win rate)
- 0x2117...5c26 — Outcome 97836627, $9,752 (44% win rate)
- 0xe9d3...079f — Outcome 97836627, $7,835 (86% win rate)
- 0x24f0...7ad4 — Outcome 97836627, $7,813 (70% win rate)
- 0x06f2...1269 — Outcome 97836627, $4,786 (54% win rate)
- 0xbb0b...3790 — Outcome 97836627, $4,444 (78% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 97836627, $4,313 (76% win rate)
- 0x2e78...067e — Outcome 97836627, $3,766 (63% win rate)
Related Theses
Knicks win big over Spurs
Covers 12 related markets
Spurs win in a blowout
Covers 18 related markets
Spurs blow out Knicks
Covers 17 related markets
High-scoring close Netherlands-Sweden match
Covers 4 related markets
Ecuador routs Curaçao decisively
Covers 3 related markets
Japan routs Tunisia convincingly
Covers 4 related markets
France wins high-scoring shootout
Covers 4 related markets
Norway wins big over Iraq
Covers 5 related markets
Argentina dominates high-scoring match
Covers 3 related markets
Austria wins by four-plus
Covers 3 related markets


