Part of: New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,094.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

96% win-rate contrarian bettor

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial historical edge bought Cleveland at 47%, despite the market now pricing them at only 24%.

  • This bettor has won 125 of 130 resolved positions and is up $918,764 lifetime.
  • They bought Cleveland at 47%, while the market has since fallen to 24% after a 29-point daily move.
  • Their 110-event trading history suggests this is a deliberate cross-market position rather than a random wager.

$1,720 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 94%

96% win-rate contrarian bettor

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial historical edge bought Cleveland at 47%, despite the market now pricing them at only 24%.

  • This bettor has won 125 of 130 resolved positions and is up $918,764 lifetime.
  • They bought Cleveland at 47%, while the market has since fallen to 24% after a 29-point daily move.
  • Their 110-event trading history suggests this is a deliberate cross-market position rather than a random wager.

$1,010 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 94%

93% win-rate baseball bettor

A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and $2.8M profit made a fresh $1,722 Guardians bet at 53%.

  • This bettor wins 93% of trades across 392 resolved positions and is up $2.8M.
  • They made a fresh $1,722 bet on Cleveland at 53%, near the current 54% market price.
  • The wallet has traded across 505 events, suggesting a broad and consistent edge rather than a one-off result.

$1,722 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp bettors scale into Cleveland

Three wallets added $12.6K to Cleveland at 50%, including two highly profitable bettors with 92-97% win rates and a major volume spike.

  • Two of the three bettors win 92% and 97% of their trades across more than 1,900 resolved positions.
  • All three wallets added to Cleveland at 50%, totaling $12,642 and representing a sharp one-sided volume surge.
  • The coordinated buying is notable despite existing Cleveland positions, signaling increased conviction rather than a new isolated bet.

$12,642 on Cleveland Guardians

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 91411630, $18,456 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x18bb...e5cd Outcome 91411630, $15,951 (70% win rate)
  3. 0xa084...bb99 Outcome 91411630, $6,450 (94% win rate)
  4. 0x5482...b6ee Outcome 91411630, $5,400
  5. 0x16bb...8492 Outcome 91411630, $3,249 (94% win rate)
  6. 0x3453...8524 Outcome 91411630, $3,000 (97% win rate)
  7. 0x61f1...7aef Outcome 91411630, $3,000 (93% win rate)
  8. 0x519d...37a1 Outcome 91411630, $2,580
  9. 0x09af...9728 Outcome 91411630, $2,315 (99% win rate)
  10. 0x684b...8409 Outcome 91411630, $1,834 (92% win rate)

Related Theses

Marlins win, runs stay low

Covers 3 related markets

Yankees win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Brewers win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Rays win, total not eight

Covers 3 related markets

High-scoring Giants-Guardians showdown

Covers 3 related markets

Low-scoring Valkyries keep it close

Covers 3 related markets

Brewers Athletics exceed total

Covers 1 related market

Pirates Athletics stay under

Covers 1 related market

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians

ResolvedNew York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians$17,094 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for August 6 at 1:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

NYM
13
50-66
Final
CLE
6
57-59
NYM +114CLE -123O/U 7
Venue
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Attendance
26,764
Price History — “New York Mets
83¢
64¢
44¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians

18d ago

$1,720 on Cleveland Guardians at 47¢

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians

18d ago

$1,010 on Cleveland Guardians at 47¢

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians

19d ago

$1,722 on Cleveland Guardians at 53¢

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians

19d ago

$12,642 on Cleveland Guardians at 50¢

Related Theses

Marlins win, runs stay low
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…
Yankees win in a high-scoring game
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Will there be a run scored in …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …
Tigers win a high-scoring game
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…
Brewers win in a high-scoring game
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Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…
Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (…
Rays win, total not eight
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …
High-scoring Giants-Guardians showdown
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-…San Francisco Giants vs. Cleve…San Francisco Giants vs. Cleve…
Low-scoring Valkyries keep it close
Wallet_0xa0845 trades 3 related markets
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden Stat…Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden Stat…Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)
Brewers Athletics exceed total
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 1 related market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletic…
Pirates Athletics stay under
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 1 related market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleti…