Part of: New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
This Polymarket market covers the May 22 MLB game between the New York Mets and Miami Marlins, resolving to the team that wins. PolySpotter is tracking $4,000 in smart money across 1 signal, with recent alerts highlighting sharp wallet interest in the Marlins. The market is scheduled to resolve after the game is completed, with final resolution timing listed for May 29, 2026.
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Miami Marlins, scheduled for May 22 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,901.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Undefeated serial sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 16-0 resolved record and nearly $40k profit is buying Miami at 52¢.
- This bettor has won 16 of 16 resolved bets and is up about $39.9k lifetime.
- They have traded across 26 events with about $96.8k deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Buying Miami at 52¢ implies they see value despite a fairly liquid market.
$4,000 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 100%
Linked wallets backing underdog
A coordinated four-wallet flow, including linked funding and profitable high-volume bettors, bought $15.5k of Miami around 48–49¢ during a major pre-game volume spike.
- Four wallets bought the same side within seconds, putting $15.5k on Miami at 48–49¢.
- Two wallets share a funder, suggesting one coordinated bettor is splitting a larger position.
- The largest buyer is up $1.7M lifetime, and another has made $198k across thousands of resolved trades.
$15,486 on Miami Marlins
Profitable serial sports bettor
Large Miami buy from a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 64% win rate over 2,501 resolved bets and $11.6M lifetime profit.
- This bettor is up $11.6M lifetime across 2,501 resolved bets.
- They win 64% of bets while typically playing near coin-flip prices.
- Bought Miami at 47¢, implying they see value on the slight underdog.
$5,414 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 64%
98% winner backs Marlins
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and $1.74M lifetime profit bought $3,000 of Miami Marlins at 47¢.
- This bettor has won 244 of 249 resolved bets and is up $1.74M lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 449 events with a 98% win rate.
- A $3,000 buy at 47¢ backs Miami in a low-volume market with only $3.4K traded in 24h.
$3,000 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 98%
Top Holders
- 0x9a4c...1f30 — Miami Marlins, $19,000 (60% win rate)
- 0xa710...23c4 — Miami Marlins, $14,513 (54% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — New York Mets, $13,803 (68% win rate)
- 0x9495...9a27 — Miami Marlins, $11,520 (64% win rate)
- 0x5d1d...afd2 — Miami Marlins, $10,204 (55% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — New York Mets, $9,833
- 0x6d3c...d294 — New York Mets, $9,000 (53% win rate)
- 0xddfc...bd59 — Miami Marlins, $7,692 (100% win rate)
- 0x3625...1187 — Miami Marlins, $6,383 (98% win rate)
- 0x0a77...9d74 — New York Mets, $6,143
