Part of: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
This Polymarket-style MLB totals market asks whether the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles will combine for 9 or more runs on May 13 at 6:35 PM ET. PolySpotter is tracking $84,392 in smart money activity across 4 signals, including Under buying from a high-win-rate trader and whale activity on Over. The market resolves after the game is completed, with postponements staying open and a full cancellation resolving 50-50.
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for May 13 at 6:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $126,993.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
New whale buying Over
A 2-day-old repeat whale has put $42.6k on Over 8.5 amid a major pre-game volume spike, though the wallet’s early resolved record is negative.
- A 2-day-old wallet bought $42.6k of Over shares, adding to $147.9k in flagged bets across 11 recent alerts.
- The market saw a 113x pre-event volume spike, suggesting unusual money is arriving before first pitch.
- This is a high-conviction bet at 54–55¢, but the wallet is still unproven and down $42.2k on early resolved trades.
$42,601 on Over | Wallet win rate: 38%
89% winner buying Under
A highly profitable sharp sports bettor with an 89% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought $14.4k of Under at 46¢.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $784K lifetime.
- They have bet across 120 events with nearly $1.5M in tracked volume.
- A $14.4K buy at 46¢ suggests they see value on Under despite the market leaning Over.
$14,382 on Under | Wallet win rate: 89%
New whale buying Over
A brand-new repeat whale is taking a $41.5k Over position into an MLB total, helping drive a large pre-event volume spike despite having no proven winning record yet.
- A 2-day-old wallet put $41.5k on Over, a large position for an $87k-volume market.
- This wallet has already made 9 flagged large bets totaling $141k, suggesting aggressive repeat conviction.
- Market volume spiked 258x above its recent pace before first pitch.
$41,501 on Over | Wallet win rate: 38%
New wallet on hot start
A 1-day-old repeat bettor with early profits is taking a $2.1k Under position amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- This 1-day-old wallet has already had 5 flagged large bets totaling $10.4k.
- The bettor is 2-for-2 on resolved trades and up $715 so far.
- Market volume is running 258x above its recent average before first pitch.
$2,147 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%
New repeat whale on Over
A two-day-old wallet is making repeated large MLB bets and just put $26.4k on Over, a very large share of prior 24h activity despite an unproven and currently losing track record.
- A brand-new wallet has already placed 8 flagged large bets totaling $131.6k in under 2 days.
- This $26.4k Over buy was about 6.5x the market’s prior 24h volume, showing strong conviction.
- Track record is still unproven, with 3 wins and 5 losses so far and a $42.2k loss.
$26,362 on Over | Wallet win rate: 38%
Top Holders
- 0xb91a...3987 — Over, $115,804 (38% win rate)
- 0x16bb...8492 — Under, $33,103 (89% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Under, $23,664 (52% win rate)
- 0x9495...9a27 — Under, $22,798 (64% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Under, $15,000 (89% win rate)
- 0x359c...3272 — Under, $4,667 (100% win rate)
- 0xadfb...c2ef — Under, $2,324
- 0x04b9...79e0 — Under, $2,000 (76% win rate)
- 0xd9ea...b781 — Under, $1,949
- 0x1d3a...7b63 — Over, $1,777 (38% win rate)
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