New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
This Polymarket tracks who will win the April 23 MLB game between the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox. Traders are pricing the Yankees and Red Sox based on expected game-day outcomes, with smart money activity showing notable interest on both sides and a recent sharp cluster flip to Boston. The market stays open if the game is postponed and resolves after the game is completed, or 50-50 if it is canceled with no make-up game or ends in a tie.
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $61,138.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Pro sports bettor fading favorite
A high-volume sports bettor with a 71% win rate across 11,175 resolved bets sold Yankees at 88¢ as the market surged, which converts to a buyable Red Sox position at 12¢.
- This bettor has won 71% of 11,175 resolved bets across 157 markets and is up $57k.
- They sold the Yankees at 88¢, which is equivalent to buying the Red Sox at 12¢.
- The market jumped 15 points in 4 minutes, so this bet fades a sharp late move rather than chasing it.
$1,915 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 71%
5-wallet dogpile on Boston
Five wallets piled into Boston in the same window against a sharp move toward the Yankees, and two of the wallets have large positive long-term records across thousands of markets.
- Five wallets all bet Boston within minutes, totaling nearly $11k in one-sided flow.
- Two wallets in the cluster win 71% of their bets, including one up about $2.4M lifetime.
- They bought Boston around 39-40¢ while the market later crashed to 12¢, making this a very aggressive contrarian position to track.
$10,946 on Boston Red Sox
Pro sports bettor buying dip
A highly active and profitable sports trader with a 71% win rate bought Boston at 48¢ during a sharp pregame move, making this a credible follow despite the market’s deep liquidity.
- This bettor has won 2,739 of 3,851 resolved markets and is up $2.4M lifetime
- They bought Boston at 48¢ during a 32.7x pregame volume spike and a fast 15-point move
- The price is now 40¢, so their entry came before the market moved further in Boston’s favor
$1,254 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 71%
Sharp serial sports bettor
A high-volume serial sports trader with a 71% win rate and $2.4M profit bought Boston at 49¢, and the price has already moved to 55¢.
- This bettor wins 71% of 3,850 resolved trades and is up $2.4M lifetime
- They have traded 969 markets across 406 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- They bought Boston at 49¢ and the market is now 55¢, so the position is already moving their way
$1,743 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 71%
18-wallet funded cluster
A large linked-wallet cluster with a long history of coordinated sports trading is buying the Yankees alongside a broader one-sided flow spike.
- 18 wallets linked to the same funder have shown up here, and 5 wallets bought the Yankees in the same direction for $26.6k total
- This wallet has a real track record: 61% wins across 5,778 resolved bets and $113k profit
- The market saw a 90.8x volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than a routine single bet
$2,483 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 60%
Sharp cluster flips to Boston
Five wallets piled into Boston, including several highly profitable serial traders, after a sharp odds swing in a very active market.
- Three wallets in this cluster have elite long-term results, including one bettor winning 91% of 463 resolved trades and another up $6.4M lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $17.8k as this market swung hard, with some entries at 39-40¢ versus 64¢ now.
- One of the biggest buyers had just closed a Yankees position, suggesting a deliberate flip rather than routine exposure.
$17,805 on Boston Red Sox
5-wallet Yankees cluster
A very new wallet is repeatedly betting meaningful size and is part of a 5-wallet one-sided Yankees cluster during a major pregame volume surge, which makes this coordinated flow worth watching despite no proven track record yet.
- Five wallets put $26.6k on the Yankees in the same burst, pointing to coordinated conviction.
- This wallet is only 8 hours old but has already made 3 flagged bets totaling $7.5k.
- Market volume jumped 90.8x versus normal, showing unusual pregame money flowing in.
$1,912 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 0%
4-wallet Red Sox cluster
A very new wallet is part of a 4-wallet one-sided cluster buying Boston during an 81x volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than routine game betting.
- Four wallets all bought Boston Red Sox, putting nearly $10.8k on the same side.
- This wallet is less than 3 days old and has already made repeated large bets, with over $5.1k flagged so far.
- They entered at 46¢ during an 81x jump in market activity, a sign of strong pregame positioning.
$1,523 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 100%
Repeat new wallet cluster
A 2-day-old wallet with 28 prior large-bet flags joined a 4-wallet one-sided buy cluster on Boston at 42¢ ahead of a major volume spike, suggesting repeat high-conviction positioning worth tracking.
- A 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 28 large-bet alerts, with over $109k previously flagged
- Four wallets all bought Boston Red Sox, putting more than $10.8k on the same side
- This buyer got in at 42¢ and the market is now 46¢, showing early momentum behind the bet
$3,703 on Boston Red Sox
18-wallet Yankees cluster
An 18-wallet funded cluster has multiple accounts piling into the Yankees in a high-volume MLB market, but the signal is more about coordinated flow than trader quality since the fills came well above the current 38% price.
- Four wallets from an 18-wallet funded cluster put nearly $12.9k on the Yankees in one burst.
- This group trades heavily across markets with $1.83M deployed, and one wallet is up $1.1M lifetime.
- The market saw a 38.8x volume spike and a fast 15-point move, though these buys were mostly filled at 45-59¢ versus 38¢ now.
$12,941 on New York Yankees
Top Holders
- 0x5375...aeea — Outcome 85228103, $70,325 (41% win rate)
- 0x1117...3532 — Outcome 96523712, $40,000 (58% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 96523712, $22,936 (73% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — Outcome 96523712, $15,609 (66% win rate)
- 0x32ed...f960 — Outcome 96523712, $14,971 (71% win rate)
- 0x18a6...c8d3 — Outcome 96523712, $13,987
- 0x3625...1187 — Outcome 96523712, $6,857 (98% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 96523712, $5,364
- 0xe5b3...49f8 — Outcome 96523712, $3,248 (67% win rate)
- 0xa6e3...6dfe — Outcome 96523712, $2,715 (91% win rate)
