Part of: New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
This Polymarket prediction market covers the August 2, 2026 MLB game between the New York Yankees and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for 2:20 PM ET. The market resolves to the winning team; postponements remain open until the game is played, while a cancellation without a makeup game or a tie resolves 50-50. Numeric current odds were not included in the provided metadata, but the market has recorded $55,967 in tracked smart money and one signal.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $376,590.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Linked wallets averaging into Cubs
Four linked wallets deployed roughly $118,000 on the Cubs amid a 504x volume spike, although the lead wallet has a weak track record and is averaging down on a losing position.
- Four wallets tied to two funders bought roughly $118,000 of Chicago, creating an exceptional one-sided signal.
- The wallet added about $98,000 despite already holding $487,000 of Cubs exposure at a loss.
- This is a high-conviction contrarian position, but the bettor has only a 51% win rate and the market moved sharply against it.
$55,967 on Chicago Cubs | Wallet win rate: 48%
Linked wallets averaging into Cubs
Four linked wallets deployed roughly $118,000 on the Cubs amid a 504x volume spike, although the lead wallet has a weak track record and is averaging down on a losing position.
- Four wallets tied to two funders bought roughly $118,000 of Chicago, creating an exceptional one-sided signal.
- The wallet added about $98,000 despite already holding $487,000 of Cubs exposure at a loss.
- This is a high-conviction contrarian position, but the bettor has only a 51% win rate and the market moved sharply against it.
$97,586 on Chicago Cubs | Wallet win rate: 48%
Linked cluster backs Cubs
A four-wallet, partially linked cluster made a concentrated $61.7K Cubs bet amid an extraordinary volume spike, though opposing Yankees flow and mixed track records make it a conflicted signal.
- Four wallets, including two linked accounts, bought $61,667 of the Cubs in a market with a 1,109x volume spike.
- One wallet added $41,620 to an existing Cubs position, showing meaningful conviction rather than a one-off trade.
- The signal is conflicted: three wallets also bought $130,421 of the Yankees, and the Cubs position has fallen from 55¢ to about 40¢.
$61,667 on Chicago Cubs
Coordinated Yankees buying surge
A large coordinated Yankees purchase drove a 23-point price surge, supported by a highly profitable 91% win-rate bettor, though much of the capital came from traders with existing positions.
- Four wallets bought $137,811 of the Yankees, contributing to a 23-point rise to 76%.
- One participating bettor wins 91% of 87 resolved trades and is up $24,634.
- The buying occurred during a 504x historical volume spike, although the largest buyer was already holding a substantial Yankees position.
$137,811 on New York Yankees
Sharp bettor scaling into Cubs
A proven, profitable bettor with a 76% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a Cubs position despite the market favoring the Yankees.
- This bettor wins 76% of 133 resolved bets and is up $81,318 lifetime.
- They are adding $2,000 to an existing Cubs position at 34¢ despite the Yankees moving 15 percentage points higher.
- The 34¢ entry implies roughly a 2.9x payout if Chicago wins, with a tight 1¢ market spread.
$2,000 on Chicago Cubs | Wallet win rate: 79%
91% winner adding to Cubs
A highly profitable 91% win-rate bettor with a large positive edge is adding $10,560 to an existing Cubs position at 48%.
- This bettor wins 91% of 237 resolved trades and is up $585,357 lifetime.
- They added $10,560 to an existing Cubs position, bringing total investment to roughly $32,560.
- The Cubs entry at 48¢ has already risen to 52¢, while the bettor’s long-term results indicate meaningful edge beyond the odds paid.
$10,560 on Chicago Cubs | Wallet win rate: 91%
Elite bettor buys Cubs undervalued
A highly profitable, extensively proven bettor with an 88% win rate is taking a $2,000 position on the Cubs at 45%.
- This bettor has won 88% of 2,311 resolved positions and earned over $4.1 million.
- They are making a fresh $2,000 bet on Chicago at 45%, while the market implies roughly 44%.
- The wallet has traded across 1,283 events, providing an unusually large sample behind this signal.
$2,000 on Chicago Cubs | Wallet win rate: 89%
Sharp bettor scaling into Cubs
A highly profitable bettor with a 92% win rate and 41-point edge is adding $9,000 to an existing Cubs position at 45¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of trades across 128 resolved positions and is up nearly $975,000.
- The $9,000 buy adds to an existing $20,000 Cubs position at 45¢, showing strong conviction.
- The entry price implies the bettor sees Chicago as meaningfully undervalued despite the market pricing the Cubs at 44%.
$9,000 on Chicago Cubs | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0x26b4...b8a9 — Outcome 71725942, $24,321 (64% win rate)
- 0x0f1c...82c6 — Outcome 71725942, $22,000 (91% win rate)
- 0x684b...8409 — Outcome 71725942, $20,000 (91% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — Outcome 71725942, $14,581 (69% win rate)
- 0x772b...1840 — Outcome 71725942, $5,882 (79% win rate)
- 0xd1ed...d7cb — Outcome 71725942, $5,080 (60% win rate)
- 0x27f7...44b0 — Outcome 71725942, $4,444 (89% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 71725942, $3,156
- 0xaebf...e1ca — Outcome 71725942, $3,000 (37% win rate)
- 0x09af...9728 — Outcome 71725942, $2,333 (99% win rate)
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