Part of: New York Yankees vs. New York Mets
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets
This prediction market covers the May 17 MLB game between the New York Yankees and New York Mets, resolving to the team that wins the game. PolySpotter is tracking $1,442 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal, with recent alerts including profitable Mets bettors, a serial sports bettor, and an 88% win-rate sports sharp. The market is scheduled to resolve after the game is completed, or by May 24, 2026 if needed due to postponement rules.
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and New York Mets, scheduled for May 17 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $211,112.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports trader with a 78% resolved win rate is fading the Yankees amid a major price move and volume spike.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $13.9k lifetime.
- They have traded across 33 sports events with $86k in recent cross-market activity.
- The trade backs the Mets at 78¢ while the Yankees have dropped 33 points on heavy volume.
$1,442 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable cluster backs underdog
Three wallets are directionally backing the Mets, including one very profitable serial trader, making this underdog position worth watching despite modest size and recent adverse price movement.
- One Mets buyer has a 64% win record across 1,927 resolved markets and is up $8.2M lifetime.
- Three wallets all took the Mets side for $3.6k, including two direct buys and one Yankees sell.
- The market has moved against them, so the current 22¢ price is cheaper than the main 34–35¢ entries.
$3,612 on New York Mets
Profitable serial sports bettor
Surfacing because this is a high-volume serial sports trader with a long profitable record, though the Yankees position has already moved sharply against their 65¢ entry.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 70% wins across 23,032 resolved bets and $162k lifetime profit.
- They have traded 291 related events and over $1.09M through this cross-market pattern.
- They bought Yankees at 65¢, but the market is now 48¢, so the same side is currently available much cheaper.
$1,783 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable Mets cluster
Three highly profitable sports wallets bought $27k of Mets at 35¢ during a 95x volume spike, with the market already moving to 52¢.
- Three proven bettors with 64–72% win rates bought the Mets together for $27k.
- These wallets are up about $18.1M combined lifetime, led by two eight-figure-volume traders.
- They entered at 35¢ and the market has already moved to 52¢, alongside a 95x pre-game volume spike.
$27,224 on New York Mets
Profitable MLB sharp buys underdog
Despite a modest alert score, this is worth surfacing because a highly profitable sports bettor bought $9.2k of Mets at 40¢ during a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor has won 72% of 6,387 resolved bets and is up $9.6M lifetime.
- They bought $9.2k of Mets at 40¢, below the current ~42¢ market price.
- Pre-game volume is running 110x above the historical average, adding momentum to the move.
$9,232 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought the Mets at 52¢, though the individual bet is modest in a very liquid market.
- This bettor has a long track record: 64% wins across 1,927 resolved bets and $8.2M in profit.
- They have traded across 219 events, suggesting this is part of a repeatable sports-betting process.
- Entry at 52¢ implies they see the Mets as a slight favorite with room above the current market price.
$2,060 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 64%
15-wallet funded cluster
High-conviction Yankees buy from a profitable serial sports trader plus coordinated funded-wallet flow totaling $116.7k just before the game.
- A highly profitable bettor in this flow wins 72% of resolved bets and is up $9.6M lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $116.7k of the same side, including a $96k entry around 48¢.
- This came with a 160x pre-event volume spike and 15 wallets tied to the same funder.
$116,716 on New York Yankees
15-wallet funded cluster
High-conviction Mets buy from a profitable serial sports trader within a 15-wallet funded cluster and one-sided flow that has already moved price from 55¢ to 58¢.
- A profitable bettor is backing this side after making $208K lifetime across $1.4M in bets.
- 15 wallets share the same funder, and 3 wallets are buying the same outcome for $37.9K total.
- The market saw a 162x volume spike, and the entry at 55¢ has already moved to 58¢.
$1,118 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume serial trader with a 64% resolved win rate and +$630k P&L is buying Mets in a liquid MLB market.
- This bettor wins 64% of resolved trades and is up about $631k lifetime.
- They have traded 287 events and over $2.2M, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
- Entry at 53¢ implies they see the Mets as mispriced despite a tight, liquid market.
$4,717 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly active cross-market sports bettor with a 62% win rate and $614k lifetime profit bought Yankees at 47¢.
- This bettor has won 62% of 1,791 resolved trades and is up $614k lifetime.
- They have traded across 123 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 47¢ gives a near-even-money shot on the Yankees with a proven bettor taking that side.
$7,050 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0xd959...daf7 — New York Yankees, $352,924 (50% win rate)
- 0xbddf...c684 — New York Mets, $233,683 (94% win rate)
- 0x4bff...fc26 — New York Yankees, $200,000 (62% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — New York Mets, $144,175 (72% win rate)
- 0x9495...9a27 — New York Mets, $112,968 (64% win rate)
- 0xb45a...192c — New York Yankees, $103,067 (45% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — New York Mets, $99,964 (56% win rate)
- 0x7a88...41cc — New York Yankees, $83,332 (59% win rate)
- 0x5234...4c4f — New York Mets, $56,912 (60% win rate)
- 0x3dfb...abaf — New York Mets, $50,000 (57% win rate)
