Part of: New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies

This Polymarket market covers the July 26 MLB matchup between the New York Yankees and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for 7:20 PM ET. It resolves to the winning team; a canceled game or tie results in a 50-50 resolution, while $6,446 in smart money and recent activity are being tracked.

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $429,887.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

94% win-rate sharp backs Phillies

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge bought the Phillies amid a 61.6x volume spike, with the price already moving from 82% to 84%.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 7,078 resolved positions and earned $1.32M in profit.
  • The $1,390 Phillies purchase came during a 61.6x surge in market activity.
  • The bet entered at 82%, while the Phillies have since risen to 84%, supporting the direction.

$1,390 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial trader buys Philadelphia

A highly profitable serial trader with a meaningful edge bought $5,056 of Philadelphia at 81-82% during a major volume spike, though the existing Yankees position suggests possible hedging.

  • This bettor has won 64% of 4,300 resolved trades and is up $1.55 million lifetime.
  • They bought $5,056 of Philadelphia at 81-82%, with the price already moving to 84%.
  • The market saw a 61.6x historical volume spike, although the bettor also holds a sizable Yankees position that may indicate a hedge.

$5,056 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 64%

Three-wallet Phillies buying surge

Three wallets committed $111.5K to Philadelphia in a 43x pre-event volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated signal despite mixed trader track records.

  • Three wallets bought $111,534 of Philadelphia, led by a single $103,400 position at 66¢.
  • The market saw a 43.4x surge versus its historical trading volume before the game.
  • One participating bettor is up $6.4 million lifetime, though the other large buyer has a losing long-term record.

$111,534 on Philadelphia Phillies

95% winner scaling into Phillies

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate is adding $53,000 to an existing Phillies position at 65% amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 82 of 86 resolved positions, earning $143,812 on nearly $966,000 invested.
  • The $53,000 purchase adds to an existing $81,171 Phillies position, showing sustained conviction rather than routine entry.
  • The market saw a 208.8x historical volume spike, while the Phillies are priced around 66%.

$53,000 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 95%

Funded cluster scaling into Yankees

A four-wallet funded cluster is backing the Yankees at 35%, with a profitable serial trader substantially adding to an existing position.

  • Four wallets sharing a funder have committed $48,066 to the Yankees at 35%.
  • This bettor is up $84,819 across 35 resolved trades and wins 63% of them.
  • The wallet is adding to a $150,000 Yankees position, signaling continued conviction rather than a one-off bet.

$48,066 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 63%

96% winner adds to Phillies

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate added $53,170 to an existing Phillies position during an extreme volume surge.

  • This bettor has won 43 of 45 resolved positions, earning $1.32M in profit while buying at an average 56% price.
  • They added another $53,170 to an existing Phillies position, bringing their total investment in the outcome to roughly $282,000.
  • The trade coincided with a 1,229x historical volume spike, signaling unusually concentrated activity around the game.

$53,170 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 96%

96% winner scaling into Phillies

A proven 96% winner with a 41-point edge over average odds added $152,000 to an existing Phillies position during a massive volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 96% of 45 resolved positions and is up $1.32 million.
  • They added $152,000 to an existing Phillies position at roughly 66¢, signaling continued conviction.
  • The trades coincided with a 3,599× historical volume spike, though the entry is near the market price.

$152,467 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 96%

99% win-rate serial bettor backs Phillies

An exceptionally proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge is backing Philadelphia at 65 cents.

  • This bettor has won 1,479 of 1,490 resolved positions, with $16.2M in reported profit.
  • The trade is a fresh $1,950 position on Philadelphia at 65¢, near the current 64% market odds.
  • The wallet has traded across 523 events and 547 markets, providing an unusually large sample of demonstrated performance.

$1,250 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 99%

99% win-rate serial bettor backs Phillies

An exceptionally proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge is backing Philadelphia at 65 cents.

  • This bettor has won 1,479 of 1,490 resolved positions, with $16.2M in reported profit.
  • The trade is a fresh $1,950 position on Philadelphia at 65¢, near the current 64% market odds.
  • The wallet has traded across 523 events and 547 markets, providing an unusually large sample of demonstrated performance.

$1,950 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 99%

Elite serial bettor backs Philadelphia

A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and $535,000 profit is backing Philadelphia at 64¢.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 1,265 resolved positions and earned roughly $535,000 in profit.
  • The wallet has demonstrated its edge across 139 events and 147 markets, making this a strong new position to study.
  • Philadelphia was bought at 64¢, matching the current market price and implying a clear favorite position.

$2,003 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcf98...6e0a Outcome 42549773, $150,000 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x9a3f...914a Outcome 42549773, $96,182 (58% win rate)
  3. 0x21f3...35e3 Outcome 42549773, $64,179 (74% win rate)
  4. 0x26b4...b8a9 Outcome 42549773, $34,471 (60% win rate)
  5. 0x9f15...bdb3 Outcome 42549773, $30,240 (66% win rate)
  6. 0xf958...db13 Outcome 42549773, $22,000 (24% win rate)
  7. 0x85bb...9ada Outcome 42549773, $18,425 (87% win rate)
  8. 0xabb8...bba3 Outcome 42549773, $15,000 (48% win rate)
  9. 0x1a2f...647a Outcome 42549773, $12,750 (67% win rate)
  10. 0xc463...9a2f Outcome 42549773, $10,000 (55% win rate)

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New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies

5dNew York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies$429,887 tracked10 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for July 26 at 7:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

NYY
4
59-46
Final
PHI
11
57-49
NYY +177PHI -218O/U 8.5
Venue
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Attendance
42,799
Price History — “Philadelphia Phillies
98¢
73¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies

1d ago

$1,390 on Philadelphia Phillies at 82¢

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies

1d ago

$5,056 on Philadelphia Phillies at 82¢

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies

1d ago

$111,534 on Philadelphia Phillies at 66¢

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies

1d ago

$53,000 on Philadelphia Phillies at 65¢

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies

1d ago

$48,066 on New York Yankees at 35¢

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies

1d ago

$53,170 on Philadelphia Phillies at 67¢

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies

1d ago

$152,467 on Philadelphia Phillies at 66¢

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies

1d ago

$1,250 on Philadelphia Phillies at 65¢

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies

1d ago

$1,950 on Philadelphia Phillies at 65¢

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies

1d ago

$2,003 on Philadelphia Phillies at 64¢

Related Theses