Part of: New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies
This Polymarket market covers the July 26 MLB matchup between the New York Yankees and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for 7:20 PM ET. It resolves to the winning team; a canceled game or tie results in a 50-50 resolution, while $6,446 in smart money and recent activity are being tracked.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $429,887.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
94% win-rate sharp backs Phillies
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge bought the Phillies amid a 61.6x volume spike, with the price already moving from 82% to 84%.
- This bettor has won 94% of 7,078 resolved positions and earned $1.32M in profit.
- The $1,390 Phillies purchase came during a 61.6x surge in market activity.
- The bet entered at 82%, while the Phillies have since risen to 84%, supporting the direction.
$1,390 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable serial trader buys Philadelphia
A highly profitable serial trader with a meaningful edge bought $5,056 of Philadelphia at 81-82% during a major volume spike, though the existing Yankees position suggests possible hedging.
- This bettor has won 64% of 4,300 resolved trades and is up $1.55 million lifetime.
- They bought $5,056 of Philadelphia at 81-82%, with the price already moving to 84%.
- The market saw a 61.6x historical volume spike, although the bettor also holds a sizable Yankees position that may indicate a hedge.
$5,056 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 64%
Three-wallet Phillies buying surge
Three wallets committed $111.5K to Philadelphia in a 43x pre-event volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated signal despite mixed trader track records.
- Three wallets bought $111,534 of Philadelphia, led by a single $103,400 position at 66¢.
- The market saw a 43.4x surge versus its historical trading volume before the game.
- One participating bettor is up $6.4 million lifetime, though the other large buyer has a losing long-term record.
$111,534 on Philadelphia Phillies
95% winner scaling into Phillies
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate is adding $53,000 to an existing Phillies position at 65% amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 82 of 86 resolved positions, earning $143,812 on nearly $966,000 invested.
- The $53,000 purchase adds to an existing $81,171 Phillies position, showing sustained conviction rather than routine entry.
- The market saw a 208.8x historical volume spike, while the Phillies are priced around 66%.
$53,000 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 95%
Funded cluster scaling into Yankees
A four-wallet funded cluster is backing the Yankees at 35%, with a profitable serial trader substantially adding to an existing position.
- Four wallets sharing a funder have committed $48,066 to the Yankees at 35%.
- This bettor is up $84,819 across 35 resolved trades and wins 63% of them.
- The wallet is adding to a $150,000 Yankees position, signaling continued conviction rather than a one-off bet.
$48,066 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 63%
96% winner adds to Phillies
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate added $53,170 to an existing Phillies position during an extreme volume surge.
- This bettor has won 43 of 45 resolved positions, earning $1.32M in profit while buying at an average 56% price.
- They added another $53,170 to an existing Phillies position, bringing their total investment in the outcome to roughly $282,000.
- The trade coincided with a 1,229x historical volume spike, signaling unusually concentrated activity around the game.
$53,170 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 96%
96% winner scaling into Phillies
A proven 96% winner with a 41-point edge over average odds added $152,000 to an existing Phillies position during a massive volume spike.
- This bettor has won 96% of 45 resolved positions and is up $1.32 million.
- They added $152,000 to an existing Phillies position at roughly 66¢, signaling continued conviction.
- The trades coincided with a 3,599× historical volume spike, though the entry is near the market price.
$152,467 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 96%
99% win-rate serial bettor backs Phillies
An exceptionally proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge is backing Philadelphia at 65 cents.
- This bettor has won 1,479 of 1,490 resolved positions, with $16.2M in reported profit.
- The trade is a fresh $1,950 position on Philadelphia at 65¢, near the current 64% market odds.
- The wallet has traded across 523 events and 547 markets, providing an unusually large sample of demonstrated performance.
$1,250 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 99%
99% win-rate serial bettor backs Phillies
An exceptionally proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge is backing Philadelphia at 65 cents.
- This bettor has won 1,479 of 1,490 resolved positions, with $16.2M in reported profit.
- The trade is a fresh $1,950 position on Philadelphia at 65¢, near the current 64% market odds.
- The wallet has traded across 523 events and 547 markets, providing an unusually large sample of demonstrated performance.
$1,950 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 99%
Elite serial bettor backs Philadelphia
A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and $535,000 profit is backing Philadelphia at 64¢.
- This bettor has won 95% of 1,265 resolved positions and earned roughly $535,000 in profit.
- The wallet has demonstrated its edge across 139 events and 147 markets, making this a strong new position to study.
- Philadelphia was bought at 64¢, matching the current market price and implying a clear favorite position.
$2,003 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xcf98...6e0a — Outcome 42549773, $150,000 (63% win rate)
- 0x9a3f...914a — Outcome 42549773, $96,182 (58% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 42549773, $64,179 (74% win rate)
- 0x26b4...b8a9 — Outcome 42549773, $34,471 (60% win rate)
- 0x9f15...bdb3 — Outcome 42549773, $30,240 (66% win rate)
- 0xf958...db13 — Outcome 42549773, $22,000 (24% win rate)
- 0x85bb...9ada — Outcome 42549773, $18,425 (87% win rate)
- 0xabb8...bba3 — Outcome 42549773, $15,000 (48% win rate)
- 0x1a2f...647a — Outcome 42549773, $12,750 (67% win rate)
- 0xc463...9a2f — Outcome 42549773, $10,000 (55% win rate)
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