Part of: New Zealand vs. Belgium - More Markets

New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $81,280.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Linked sharp Over cluster

High-conviction coordinated Over buying from six wallets, including two linked profitable 85% bettors, pushed the market from long-shot prices to 100%.

Six wallets bought the same Over, totaling $21.3K, with two wallets sharing a funder.
Two matching wallets have won 85% of resolved bets and are both profitable lifetime.
The buying came before a huge move: Over rose from as low as 22–50¢ to 100%.

$21,290 on Over

98% winner buying Under

Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 39/40 resolved record and +$83k P&L bought Under, though the price has moved sharply against their 74¢ entry.

This bettor has won 39 of 40 resolved bets and is up $83k lifetime.
They put $2,000 on Under despite heavy pre-game volume, with this market trading over 20x its usual activity.
The position has moved against them from 74¢ to 54¢, so the same side is now available much cheaper than their entry.

$2,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 98%

72% serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor is taking the Over side with a $21.5k equivalent position amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades across 265 markets and is up $19.1k lifetime.
They put $21.5k on the Over side, effectively buying at 17¢.
Market activity spiked 58.6x above its historical average before kickoff.

$21,456 on Over | Wallet win rate: 73%

Sharp cluster hammering Under

High-conviction Under cluster backed by multiple sharp sports wallets, including a 95% winner up $450k and an 89% winner, amid an 86x pre-game volume spike.

Six wallets put $32.9k on Under, a large one-sided move in a market with $38.9k liquidity.
One bettor on this side wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $450k lifetime.
Volume spiked 86x before the match, and early entries at 64–68¢ have already moved toward 73¢.

$32,853 on Under

Undefeated new wallet

A new repeat bettor with a 6-0 resolved record and positive P&L is buying Under despite recent market momentum toward Over.

This new bettor is 6-for-6 on resolved markets and is up $702 so far.
They are making a repeat flagged bet, with $2.2K total recently flagged across positions.
Buying Under at 63¢ goes against the week’s move toward Over, suggesting a contrarian view.

$1,066 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%

99% winner buying Over

Elite wallet with a 99% resolved win record and $13.8M profit is buying Over 4.5 at 34¢ amid strong recent price momentum.

This bettor has won 1,092 of 1,100 resolved positions and is up $13.8M lifetime.
They are a serial sports trader across 86 events, with a strong history of cross-market bets hitting.
Over has already moved up 16 points this week, and this entry at 34¢ implies a high-upside view.

$2,615 on Over | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

0x1d60...453d — Outcome 15660219, $25,069 (70% win rate)
0xe6bf...16b9 — Outcome 15660219, $18,255 (76% win rate)
0x4c0a...a9be — Outcome 15660219, $10,200 (95% win rate)
0x5faf...1183 — Outcome 15660219, $10,000 (28% win rate)
0xf422...baa9 — Outcome 15660219, $9,000 (82% win rate)
0x4f12...8140 — Outcome 15660219, $8,082 (86% win rate)
0x57b4...b46b — Outcome 15660219, $7,813 (92% win rate)
0x50e9...9fe1 — Outcome 15660219, $7,695
0x1fd8...7749 — Outcome 15660219, $6,932 (98% win rate)
0x2f94...2615 — Outcome 15660219, $6,347 (72% win rate)

Related Theses

New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5

ResolvedNew Zealand vs. Belgium - More Markets$81,280 tracked6 signalsFIFA World CupSportsGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between New Zealand and Belgium, scheduled for June 26 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if New Zealand and Belgium combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.