Part of: New Zealand vs. Egypt - More Markets
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $60,411.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor joined Over stampede
A high-win-rate wallet bought Over at 53¢ alongside an 8-wallet one-sided move that pushed the market sharply to 100¢.
- This bettor has won 14 of 15 resolved bets, with past entries averaging around 50¢.
- Eight wallets bought the same side for $22.6k, creating a strong one-way flow into Over.
- The entry was 53¢ before the market ripped to 100¢, so the edge has likely already been captured.
$1,600 on Over | Wallet win rate: 41%
85% serial sports sharp
Sharp 85% lifetime bettor joined one-sided Over flow that moved the market sharply to resolution levels.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $34,614 lifetime.
- 8 wallets bought Over in the same window, totaling $22,579 on one side.
- Over jumped 31 percentage points amid a 22.5x volume spike and has since reached 100%.
$1,913 on Over | Wallet win rate: 86%
86% winner joins Over flow
Sharp 86% winner with strong lifetime profit is buying Over alongside one-sided market flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $29,002 lifetime.
- Six wallets bought the same Over side for $18,411 total, showing coordinated conviction.
- Volume is 18x above normal and Over has already moved up 22 points in the past day.
$1,310 on Over | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Over, with corroborating one-sided flow and a sharp pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 63% of 1,140 resolved bets and is up about $963k lifetime.
- They are a heavy cross-market trader, with $4.18M across 296 events and $130k positioned in this event.
- Six wallets bought the same Over side for $18.4k, while market volume spiked 18x above normal.
$2,301 on Over | Wallet win rate: 64%
Proven cross-market sports bettor
Surface: a proven serial cross-market sports trader with 70% wins and positive lifetime P&L bought Under amid a sizable pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 70% of 224 resolved trades and is up $38,469 lifetime.
- They have traded across 44 events and 63 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
- The market saw a 15.9x volume spike, adding support to the Under position.
$2,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 69%
Sharp cluster buying Under
A high-scoring Under cluster is worth surfacing because two profitable sharp wallets joined the same side around 49¢ amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- Two strong bettors joined the Under side: one is 21-for-21 with $28k profit, and another wins 88% with $101k profit.
- Nine wallets put $23.3k on Under, with several sharp entries around 46–50¢ before it moved to 55¢.
- This market saw an 18x pre-game volume spike, suggesting real positioning rather than routine activity.
$23,341 on Under
93% winner buys Under
Sharp sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate bought Under 3.5 at 62¢ amid strong pre-game volume and favorable price movement.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $32.9K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports/event trader across 28 events with the same 93% hit rate.
- Under moved from 62¢ to 66¢ after their buy, with pre-game volume running 21.9x above normal.
$2,600 on Under | Wallet win rate: 93%
One-sided Over surge
High composite alert driven by a pre-game volume surge and 4-wallet one-sided buying on Over, though the featured wallet has a poor long-term record.
- Four wallets are all buying Over, totaling $13.7k in the same direction before the match.
- This market saw a sharp pre-event volume spike, up to 157x its historical pace.
- The featured wallet is not a proven winner, but the coordinated flow makes the Over move worth watching.
$3,810 on Over | Wallet win rate: 41%
74% winner leads Over surge
High-scoring Over momentum is backed by a profitable 74% bettor, a 19x volume spike, and a sharp price move, though opposing Under flow slightly tempers conviction.
- A bettor who wins 74% of resolved trades put $10k on Over at 53¢ and is up $57k lifetime.
- Another profitable wallet bought Over early at 17¢ before the market ran to about 52¢.
- Volume is 19x above normal and Over has jumped roughly 28 percentage points in the past day.
$13,036 on Over
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Under amid a major pre-event volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite modest bet size.
- This bettor is up $2.38M lifetime across more than 1,500 resolved bets.
- They have traded 293 markets across 79 events, showing a repeatable cross-market sports strategy.
- Market activity is surging before kickoff, with volume about 176x above its historical average.
$1,117 on Under | Wallet win rate: 65%
Top Holders
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 75055812, $17,756 (62% win rate)
- 0x7f39...28da — Outcome 75055812, $10,000
- 0x96ef...b406 — Outcome 75055812, $9,366 (100% win rate)
- 0x4ffd...7821 — Outcome 75055812, $7,454 (59% win rate)
- 0x69b2...5f6b — Outcome 75055812, $6,579 (100% win rate)
- 0x83d9...10d9 — Outcome 75055812, $6,132 (67% win rate)
- 0x1cfc...57e7 — Outcome 75055812, $6,129 (100% win rate)
- 0xf5d3...e1df — Outcome 75055812, $3,864 (76% win rate)
- 0xb909...c20b — Outcome 75055812, $3,782 (73% win rate)
- 0xef26...05ba — Outcome 75055812, $3,420 (76% win rate)
Related Theses
Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
Covers 14 related markets
Paraguay fails to win
Covers 3 related markets
Belgium won't beat Egypt
Covers 3 related markets
Austria routs Argentina after halftime
Covers 9 related markets
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
Covers 10 related markets
Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
Covers 8 related markets
Germany dominates Curaçao shutout
Covers 6 related markets
Ecuador wins big to nil
Covers 7 related markets
Tunisia beats Japan 3-0
Covers 9 related markets
Iraq upsets toothless France
Covers 15 related markets


