This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $332k lifetime. They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 36 events with $305k tracked in similar positioning. Entry at 8¢ implies a high-upside contrarian bet if the market is overpricing an announcement.

Part of: Next James Bond actor?

No one announced as next James Bond?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,108.

Categories: Movies, Culture

Notable Trades

90% winner buying No

A highly proven wallet with a 90% resolved-bet win rate and $332k lifetime profit bought the 8¢ No side on a James Bond announcement market.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $332k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 36 events with $305k tracked in similar positioning.
Entry at 8¢ implies a high-upside contrarian bet if the market is overpricing an announcement.

$3,045 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

90% winner buying No

A highly proven wallet with a 90% resolved-bet win rate and $332k lifetime profit bought the 8¢ No side on a James Bond announcement market.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $332k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 36 events with $305k tracked in similar positioning.
Entry at 8¢ implies a high-upside contrarian bet if the market is overpricing an announcement.

$2,133 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial event bettor

Experienced profitable cross-market bettor made a large thin-market buy that exceeded daily volume, though the position is currently marked down from entry.

This bettor has won 69% of 321 resolved trades and is up $23k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 46 events with $211k in tracked volume.
The $2.9k buy was larger than the market’s entire recent daily volume, showing conviction in a thin book.

$2,930 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

0xf0d5...c665 — Outcome 28517366, $76,575 (94% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 28517366, $53,962
0x9c5a...c318 — Outcome 28517366, $26,558
0xe665...7d42 — Outcome 28517366, $5,201 (100% win rate)
0xf742...400e — Outcome 28517366, $4,592
0x590e...e43d — Outcome 28517366, $3,000
0x73e3...3239 — Outcome 28517366, $2,515 (93% win rate)
0xd326...6d12 — Outcome 28517366, $2,008
0x4178...fbcb — Outcome 28517366, $2,000
0xaa99...dbbf — Outcome 28517366, $2,000 (62% win rate)

Related Theses

Iran deal arrives late

Covers 2 related markets

Iran won’t charge Hormuz fees

Covers 2 related markets

Houthis fail to hit shipping

Covers 3 related markets

No new Millennium Prize solution

Covers 2 related markets

No foreign intervention in Gaza

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Claude Fable 5 stays unavailable

Covers 4 related markets

Hormuz traffic will exceed 50 ships

Covers 1 related market

Fewer than 25 ships will transit

Covers 1 related market

Hormuz ship traffic falls

Covers 1 related market

No one announced as next James Bond?

ResolvedNext James Bond actor?$8,108 tracked3 signalsMoviesCulture

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.