Part of: Norway vs. France - More Markets

Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,773.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp late Over buyers

Coordinated late buying on Over came from two highly profitable wallets and immediately repriced from ~44¢ to 90¢.

  • A 15-for-15 bettor with $26K profit joined this Over buy at 44¢.
  • Another wallet in the cluster has 1,343 resolved bets and is up $764K lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought the same side minutes before market close, and Over quickly moved from ~44¢ to 90¢.

$4,481 on Over

Serial event trader on Over

High composite alert from a prolific cross-market sports trader adding to a broader France/Norway event thesis amid a major pre-game volume spike and rising Over odds.

  • This trader has bet across 323 events and is now positioned in 5 markets on this game totaling $31.5K.
  • The market is seeing a 49x volume spike, and Over has already moved up 11.5 points today.
  • The wallet wins 71% of resolved bets, though its lifetime P&L is negative, so this is more momentum/event-flow than proven sharp edge.

$1,002 on Over | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a long track record is buying Over amid a major pre-game volume and price spike.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 1,343 resolved bets and is up $764K lifetime.
  • They have $33K positioned across 3 markets in this same match, showing a broader game thesis.
  • Market volume is running 132x above normal and Over has moved up 10 points today.

$1,290 on Over | Wallet win rate: 70%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe987...f0e1 Outcome 10246896, $17,999 (99% win rate)
  2. 0x224f...514a Outcome 10246896, $14,536 (85% win rate)
  3. 0xa368...2cf8 Outcome 10246896, $10,000
  4. 0x1341...0853 Outcome 10246896, $10,000 (85% win rate)
  5. 0xc291...5d74 Outcome 10246896, $7,249
  6. 0x4154...e7a8 Outcome 10246896, $4,500 (85% win rate)
  7. 0x8230...5121 Outcome 10246896, $2,500 (75% win rate)
  8. 0x4e61...5ad4 Outcome 10246896, $2,000 (55% win rate)
  9. 0xa1ff...90f7 Outcome 10246896, $1,000
  10. 0x3752...2f08 Outcome 10246896, $800

Related Theses

Spurs win by three

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Spain routs in goalfest

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England rout Ghana in goalfest

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Germany scores three and routs Paraguay

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Brazil routs Scotland in shootout

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South Africa-Korea market mispriced

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Belgium advances in high-scoring win

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Ecuador-Germany won't draw

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Netherlands rout Tunisia early

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France beats Norway

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Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5

ResolvedNorway vs. France - More Markets$6,773 tracked3 signalsSportsSoccerFIFA World CupGames

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Norway and France, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if France score 3 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If France score less than 3 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on France's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Over
102¢
63¢
24¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5

5d ago

$4,481 on Over at 44¢

Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5

5d ago

$1,002 on Over at 43¢

Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5

5d ago

$1,290 on Over at 43¢

Related Theses

Spurs win by three
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Spain routs in goalfest
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Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Spread: Spain (-1.5)
England rout Ghana in goalfest
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Spread: England (-2.5)Spread: England (-1.5)England vs. Ghana: England O/U…
Germany scores three and routs Paraguay
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Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Brazil routs Scotland in shootout
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Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/…Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
South Africa-Korea market mispriced
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Belgium advances in high-scoring win
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Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25…Will Germany win on 2026-06-25…Will Ecuador vs. Germany end i…
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Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunis…Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
France beats Norway
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