Part of: Norway vs. France - More Markets

Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $447,079.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games

Notable Trades

Five-wallet Over surge

Strong one-sided Over flow from five wallets, including profitable high-volume bettors, drove a major price move and volume spike, though the market has already repriced sharply.

  • Five wallets bought $67K of Over, and the market jumped from the 40–60¢ range to 94¢.
  • One major bettor in the flow is up $1.77M lifetime, and another serial cross-market trader has a 73% record across 143 events.
  • The move has mostly happened already, so the original sharp entry around 63¢ is far better than the current 94¢ price.

$67,238 on Over

Profitable new whale on Under

A repeat-flagged new whale with $919k profit is placing a $128k Under bet alongside heavy one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This new bettor is already up $919k and has been flagged 19 times for large, confident bets.
  • They bought about $128k of Under at 58¢, alongside 5 wallets putting $146k on the same side.
  • Market volume is surging more than 50x normal before kickoff, with the price already moving toward Under.

$128,395 on Under | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable new whale on Under

A repeat-flagged new whale with $919k profit is placing a $128k Under bet alongside heavy one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This new bettor is already up $919k and has been flagged 19 times for large, confident bets.
  • They bought about $128k of Under at 58¢, alongside 5 wallets putting $146k on the same side.
  • Market volume is surging more than 50x normal before kickoff, with the price already moving toward Under.

$175,881 on Under | Wallet win rate: 64%

Coordinated Over push

Coordinated Over buying, a 17x pre-event volume spike, and rising odds make this worth surfacing despite the lead wallet’s weak long-term P&L.

  • Three wallets bought $47K of Over, with this wallet adding nearly $29K at 42¢.
  • Volume is running 17x above normal, and Over has moved up 6 points today.
  • The same bettor has $53K across 4 related event markets, suggesting a broader game thesis.

$28,951 on Over | Wallet win rate: 53%

Fresh wallets piling into Over

A brand-new wallet put $15k on Over as part of a $47k three-wallet one-sided move, alongside a major pre-game volume spike and rising Over odds.

  • A 2-hour-old wallet put $15k on Over just before kickoff, showing unusually high conviction for a new account.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $47k total, creating a clear one-sided flow into Over.
  • Market volume is 17x above normal and Over has already moved up 11 points this week.

$15,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

88% winner leads Under cluster

A highly profitable 88% win-rate wallet bought Under alongside two other wallets during a major pre-event volume spike.

  • A bettor who wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M bought $10.1k of Under.
  • Three wallets bought $22.8k of Under in the same window, showing coordinated one-way conviction.
  • Market volume is spiking 18.7x above normal, and Under has already moved up toward 60%.

$13,880 on Under

91% winner buying goals

Sharp sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and $565k lifetime profit bought $16k of Over 3.5 at 42¢.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $565k lifetime.
  • They put $16k on Over at 42¢, implying a strong view that the market is underpricing goals.
  • The Over price has already moved up 7 points today and 12 points this week.

$15,984 on Over | Wallet win rate: 91%

Elite 76% sports bettor

Sharp high-volume bettor with a 76% win rate and $1.83M profit is buying Under while also trading multiple related markets in the same event.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.83M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.2M+ across 220 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • They bought Under at 59¢ while the market is liquid and has moved toward Over recently, making this a clear contrarian sharp position.

$1,750 on Under | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0x20b9...4aff Outcome 10541812, $60,000
  2. 0xc3c3...eec8 Outcome 10541812, $25,000 (99% win rate)
  3. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 10541812, $22,319 (55% win rate)
  4. 0xe734...4f0c Outcome 10541812, $20,000 (46% win rate)
  5. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 10541812, $17,706 (88% win rate)
  6. 0xa80e...6aa1 Outcome 10541812, $12,000 (52% win rate)
  7. 0x3f3a...e8fd Outcome 10541812, $11,399 (54% win rate)
  8. 0xdb3a...d1cc Outcome 10541812, $10,561 (53% win rate)
  9. 0x8ad1...9198 Outcome 10541812, $6,896 (84% win rate)
  10. 0x0e3f...6dee Outcome 10541812, $5,083 (77% win rate)

Related Theses

Goals, not Germany by two

Covers 5 related markets

Mexico and Ecuador draw

Covers 3 related markets

Iran keeps Belgium low-scoring

Covers 7 related markets

Japan covers in three-goal game

Covers 6 related markets

Argentina wins low scoring match

Covers 5 related markets

Türkiye vs US match canceled

Covers 3 related markets

Morocco wins low scoring

Covers 7 related markets

Türkiye wins two nil

Covers 5 related markets

Three goals, Sweden covers

Covers 6 related markets

Uruguay fails to beat Spain

Covers 3 related markets

Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5

ResolvedNorway vs. France - More Markets$447,079 tracked8 signalsSportsSoccerFIFA World CupGames

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Norway and France, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Norway and France combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

France
FRA
4
World Cup
Full Time
Norway
NOR
1
NOR 300/1FRA 1/200
Venue
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
Attendance
64,146
Price History — “Over
102¢
66¢
29¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$67,238 on Over at 63¢

Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$128,395 on Under at 58¢

Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$175,881 on Under at 58¢

Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$28,951 on Over at 42¢

Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$15,000 on Over at 44¢

Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$13,880 on Under at 59¢

Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$15,984 on Over at 42¢

Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$1,750 on Under at 59¢

Related Theses

Goals, not Germany by two
Wallet_0x160bf trades 5 related markets
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Mexico and Ecuador draw
Wallet_0x160bf trades 3 related markets
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in…Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30…Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Iran keeps Belgium low-scoring
Wallet_0x160bf trades 7 related markets
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Team…Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5
Japan covers in three-goal game
Wallet_0x160bf trades 6 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5
Argentina wins low scoring match
Wallet_0x160bf trades 5 related markets
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5
Türkiye vs US match canceled
Wallet_0x160bf trades 3 related markets
Will Türkiye vs. United States…Will United States win on 2026…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25…
Morocco wins low scoring
Wallet_0x160bf trades 7 related markets
Spread: Morocco (-3.5)Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5
Türkiye wins two nil
Wallet_0x160bf trades 5 related markets
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st…Spread: United States (-2.5)Spread: United States (-1.5)
Three goals, Sweden covers
Wallet_0x160bf trades 6 related markets
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5
Uruguay fails to beat Spain
Wallet_0x160bf trades 3 related markets
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in …Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26…Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?