Part of: Norway vs. France - More Markets
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $447,079.
Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games
Notable Trades
Five-wallet Over surge
Strong one-sided Over flow from five wallets, including profitable high-volume bettors, drove a major price move and volume spike, though the market has already repriced sharply.
- Five wallets bought $67K of Over, and the market jumped from the 40–60¢ range to 94¢.
- One major bettor in the flow is up $1.77M lifetime, and another serial cross-market trader has a 73% record across 143 events.
- The move has mostly happened already, so the original sharp entry around 63¢ is far better than the current 94¢ price.
$67,238 on Over
Profitable new whale on Under
A repeat-flagged new whale with $919k profit is placing a $128k Under bet alongside heavy one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This new bettor is already up $919k and has been flagged 19 times for large, confident bets.
- They bought about $128k of Under at 58¢, alongside 5 wallets putting $146k on the same side.
- Market volume is surging more than 50x normal before kickoff, with the price already moving toward Under.
$128,395 on Under | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable new whale on Under
A repeat-flagged new whale with $919k profit is placing a $128k Under bet alongside heavy one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This new bettor is already up $919k and has been flagged 19 times for large, confident bets.
- They bought about $128k of Under at 58¢, alongside 5 wallets putting $146k on the same side.
- Market volume is surging more than 50x normal before kickoff, with the price already moving toward Under.
$175,881 on Under | Wallet win rate: 64%
Coordinated Over push
Coordinated Over buying, a 17x pre-event volume spike, and rising odds make this worth surfacing despite the lead wallet’s weak long-term P&L.
- Three wallets bought $47K of Over, with this wallet adding nearly $29K at 42¢.
- Volume is running 17x above normal, and Over has moved up 6 points today.
- The same bettor has $53K across 4 related event markets, suggesting a broader game thesis.
$28,951 on Over | Wallet win rate: 53%
Fresh wallets piling into Over
A brand-new wallet put $15k on Over as part of a $47k three-wallet one-sided move, alongside a major pre-game volume spike and rising Over odds.
- A 2-hour-old wallet put $15k on Over just before kickoff, showing unusually high conviction for a new account.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $47k total, creating a clear one-sided flow into Over.
- Market volume is 17x above normal and Over has already moved up 11 points this week.
$15,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
88% winner leads Under cluster
A highly profitable 88% win-rate wallet bought Under alongside two other wallets during a major pre-event volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M bought $10.1k of Under.
- Three wallets bought $22.8k of Under in the same window, showing coordinated one-way conviction.
- Market volume is spiking 18.7x above normal, and Under has already moved up toward 60%.
$13,880 on Under
91% winner buying goals
Sharp sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and $565k lifetime profit bought $16k of Over 3.5 at 42¢.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $565k lifetime.
- They put $16k on Over at 42¢, implying a strong view that the market is underpricing goals.
- The Over price has already moved up 7 points today and 12 points this week.
$15,984 on Over | Wallet win rate: 91%
Elite 76% sports bettor
Sharp high-volume bettor with a 76% win rate and $1.83M profit is buying Under while also trading multiple related markets in the same event.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.83M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.2M+ across 220 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- They bought Under at 59¢ while the market is liquid and has moved toward Over recently, making this a clear contrarian sharp position.
$1,750 on Under | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0x20b9...4aff — Outcome 10541812, $60,000
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 10541812, $25,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 10541812, $22,319 (55% win rate)
- 0xe734...4f0c — Outcome 10541812, $20,000 (46% win rate)
- 0x27f7...44b0 — Outcome 10541812, $17,706 (88% win rate)
- 0xa80e...6aa1 — Outcome 10541812, $12,000 (52% win rate)
- 0x3f3a...e8fd — Outcome 10541812, $11,399 (54% win rate)
- 0xdb3a...d1cc — Outcome 10541812, $10,561 (53% win rate)
- 0x8ad1...9198 — Outcome 10541812, $6,896 (84% win rate)
- 0x0e3f...6dee — Outcome 10541812, $5,083 (77% win rate)
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