This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades across 202 positions. They have traded 42 related sports events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process. Buying Over at 24¢ is a contrarian goals bet versus a market still pricing Under at 76%.

Part of: Norway vs. France - More Markets

Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $228,588.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games

Notable Trades

87% sports bettor

Surfacing because a proven 87% sports bettor with 202 resolved positions is buying Over at 24¢ and has a long cross-market track record.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades across 202 positions.
They have traded 42 related sports events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process.
Buying Over at 24¢ is a contrarian goals bet versus a market still pricing Under at 76%.

$3,015 on Over | Wallet win rate: 87%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought Over alongside one-sided flow, though the position has moved sharply against the 64¢ entry.

This bettor has won 70% of 37 resolved trades and is up $56.5K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 33 events with $665K deployed.
Three wallets bought the same Over side for $7K total, but the market has since fallen well below this 64¢ entry.

$1,044 on Over | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought Over alongside one-sided flow, though the position has moved sharply against the 64¢ entry.

This bettor has won 70% of 37 resolved trades and is up $56.5K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 33 events with $665K deployed.
Three wallets bought the same Over side for $7K total, but the market has since fallen well below this 64¢ entry.

$3,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable contrarian Over cluster

A profitable serial sports trader joined a small 3-wallet Over cluster, though the position is now materially underwater against the recent Under move.

This bettor has won 69% of 244 resolved bets and is up $19.3K lifetime.
Three wallets put $7.0K on the same Over side, signaling coordinated conviction.
The trade is contrarian now: Over was bought around 58¢ while the market has moved down to 38¢.

$1,065 on Over | Wallet win rate: 68%

Sharp wallets buying contrarian Under

High-score cluster of proven profitable wallets is taking the contrarian Under side despite Over being heavily favored and surging.

Several proven winners are on the same side, including one bettor up $2.3M lifetime with an 89% hit rate.
Four wallets put $6.5K into Under while the market prices it at only 13¢.
This is a contrarian bet after Over surged more than 67 points in the last day.

$6,497 on Under

Sharp cluster hammering Under

A 10-wallet cluster put $74.5k on Under, including several high-volume winning traders, and moved the market sharply from roughly coin-flip territory to 75%.

10 wallets bet $74.5k on Under, overwhelming the smaller opposite flow and pushing Under up about 20 points.
Several proven traders joined, including one who wins 89% of bets and is up $233k lifetime.
The average entry was around 48¢, meaning the cluster caught Under before the market repriced to 75¢.

$74,526 on Under

Sharp live Over cluster

A high-scoring live-market cluster backed Over as the outcome moved to 100%, including several profitable high-volume sports traders, though the copy window has effectively passed.

Nine wallets backed Over for $24K as the price moved from as low as 12¢ to 100¢.
Several strong bettors joined, including wallets with 85% win rates and one up nearly $600K lifetime.
This looks like live-game information flow, but the market is already at 100¢ so it is only copyable below 95¢.

$24,141 on Over

94% sharp sports bettor

Elite sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and $671k profit bought $24.6k of Under despite a very liquid market.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $671,836 lifetime.
They put $24.6k on Under at 78¢ in a market with heavy pre-game volume.
This wallet has traded across 79 events with the same 94% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.

$24,599 on Under | Wallet win rate: 94%

New 8-0 sports wallet

A 1-day-old repeat large bettor with an 8-0 resolved record bought $2.6k of Under during a major pre-game volume spike.

This 1-day-old wallet has won all 8 resolved bets so far and has already been flagged 3 times.
It bought $2.6k of Under at 78¢ during a 218x pre-game volume spike.
The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like a deliberate sports position rather than random thin-market noise.

$2,571 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%

87% sports bettor

Surfacing because a proven 87% sports bettor with 202 resolved positions is buying Over at 24¢ and has a long cross-market track record.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades across 202 positions.
They have traded 42 related sports events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process.
Buying Over at 24¢ is a contrarian goals bet versus a market still pricing Under at 76%.

$4,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

0x594d...059d — Outcome 40318538, $31,355 (94% win rate)
0xf28e...cab2 — Outcome 40318538, $5,870 (89% win rate)
0xa526...c9f9 — Outcome 40318538, $4,812 (93% win rate)
0x35ac...07b4 — Outcome 40318538, $4,000 (100% win rate)
0x56f4...9ec5 — Outcome 40318538, $3,322 (65% win rate)
0xa516...0392 — Outcome 40318538, $2,799 (68% win rate)
0x4ffd...7821 — Outcome 40318538, $1,919 (59% win rate)
0xa58a...eac4 — Outcome 40318538, $1,380
0x4156...997e — Outcome 40318538, $1,282
0xe8e0...7eec — Outcome 40318538, $1,130 (85% win rate)

Related Theses

Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5

ResolvedNorway vs. France - More Markets$228,588 tracked11 signalsSportsSoccerFIFA World CupGames

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Norway and France, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Norway and France combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.