Part of: Norway vs. Senegal - More Markets

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $315,387.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster caught Over

High-conviction one-sided Over flow from multiple wallets, including major profitable bettors, caught a huge move from roughly 60¢ to 98¢, though the edge appears mostly gone now.

  • 8 wallets put $41.9K behind Over, including bettors up $16.4M and $2.4M lifetime.
  • The market moved hard after these buys, with Over now at 98¢ after entries mostly around 35–70¢.
  • This looks like strong live-event flow, but the current 98¢ price leaves little room to chase.

$41,858 on Over

94% winner backing Under

Elite 94% win-rate wallet with $6.8M profit made a large effective Under bet alongside heavy one-sided flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $6.8M lifetime.
  • They put $79k into the Under side, effectively buying around 44¢.
  • 17 wallets have bet the same way for $150k total, with related-market positioning across the event.

$78,991 on Under | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp cluster faded late

Sharp 81% winner and 17-wallet one-sided flow bought Under, but the market has since moved sharply against the trade to 2%.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $38K lifetime.
  • 17 wallets bought the same side, totaling about $150K on Under.
  • The entry was 31¢, but Under is now around 2¢, so the market has moved heavily against them.

$1,500 on Under | Wallet win rate: 85%

94% whale led Under steam

Strong Under move led by a 94% win-rate whale with $6.8M profit, plus 11-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • A bettor who wins 94% of resolved positions and is up $6.8M led the Under side with large size.
  • 11 wallets pushed $91.8k toward Under, while volume spiked 92x versus the market’s normal activity.
  • The group entered around 39¢ and the market has already moved to 65¢, so the edge may be mostly gone at current prices.

$91,792 on Under

$16M winner buying Over

Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Over at 59¢ alongside 11-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike, though the market has since moved against the entry.

  • This bettor has a huge track record: 64% wins and $16.4M lifetime profit across 16,510 resolved bets.
  • 11 wallets are all betting Over in the same window, totaling $42.8K in one-sided flow.
  • Volume is 91.6x above normal, but Over has fallen from this bettor’s 59¢ entry to 35¢ now.

$1,186 on Over | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable new whale with Over cluster

High-scoring Over flow: a profitable 1-day-old repeat whale closed Under exposure as 8 wallets bought the same side amid a major pre-game volume and price surge.

  • A 1-day-old wallet is already up $28.6k and has had $220k in flagged large bets.
  • 8 wallets are all positioned toward Over, with $37.9k on the same side and 2 linked by funding.
  • The market has seen a 44x volume spike and Over has jumped about 55 points in the last day.

$5,060 on Over | Wallet win rate: 50%

95% win-rate whale

Elite profitable sports wallet bought $22.5k of Over at 16¢, backed by a 95% win rate and heavy cross-market activity on this event.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $6.9M lifetime.
  • They bought $22.5k of Over at 16¢, implying a high-risk but high-upside view versus the market’s low odds.
  • This is part of a broader $122.5k position across 3 markets in the same event.

$22,500 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%

95% whale buying Over

Elite 95% win-rate wallet with $6.9M lifetime profit is making a large, event-wide bet on Over despite the market now pricing it much lower.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $6.9M lifetime.
  • They put $72.5K on Over here and $122.5K across 3 related markets in the same event.
  • The market saw a 66x volume spike before the match, suggesting this is part of a broader informed move.

$72,500 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0x224f...514a Outcome 95940272, $15,000 (85% win rate)
  2. 0x8325...19cc Outcome 95940272, $13,677 (62% win rate)
  3. 0xa4fd...748b Outcome 95940272, $10,697 (88% win rate)
  4. 0x1171...98dc Outcome 95940272, $8,850 (95% win rate)
  5. 0xd1ed...d7cb Outcome 95940272, $5,615 (55% win rate)
  6. 0x896e...53f2 Outcome 95940272, $4,839 (85% win rate)
  7. 0x0cf6...0e3b Outcome 95940272, $3,998 (60% win rate)
  8. 0x160b...4296 Outcome 95940272, $3,322 (76% win rate)
  9. 0x47ec...10a0 Outcome 95940272, $3,000 (93% win rate)
  10. 0x4154...e7a8 Outcome 95940272, $2,296 (85% win rate)

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Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5

ResolvedNorway vs. Senegal - More Markets$315,387 tracked8 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Norway and Senegal, scheduled for June 22 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Norway and Senegal combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Senegal
SEN
World Cup
Norway
NOR
Venue
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
Price History — “Under
90¢
87¢
83¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5

9d ago

$41,858 on Over at 60¢

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5

9d ago

$78,991 on Under at 44¢

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5

9d ago

$1,500 on Under at 31¢

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5

9d ago

$91,792 on Under at 39¢

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5

9d ago

$1,186 on Over at 59¢

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5

9d ago

$5,060 on Over at 73¢

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5

9d ago

$22,500 on Over at 16¢

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5

9d ago

$72,500 on Over at 24¢

Related Theses