Part of: Nottingham Open: Sara Bejlek vs Karolina Pliskova
Nottingham Open: Sara Bejlek vs Karolina Pliskova
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Nottingham Open match between Sara Bejlek and Karolina Pliskova, originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by June 23, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $10,148 in smart money across 3 signals, including profitable-wallet activity on Pliskova and sharp flow into Bejlek.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sara Bejlek and Karolina Pliskova in the Nottingham Open, originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sara Bejlek' if Sara Bejlek advances against Karolina Pliskova. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Pliskova' if Karolina Pliskova advances against Sara Bejlek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $62,122.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Pliskova amid a major pre-match volume spike and sharp price move in the same direction.
- This bettor has won 73% of 2,261 resolved trades and is up about $119,651 lifetime.
- They bought Pliskova at 90¢ as the market moved sharply toward her, now around 92¢.
- Market volume is surging 36x above normal before the match, suggesting broader momentum behind the move.
$2,324 on Karolina Pliskova | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial trader
A massively active, profitable cross-market trader bought Pliskova amid a 36x volume spike and a 24-point price move in her favor.
- This bettor has over 45,000 resolved trades and is up about $3.7M lifetime.
- Pliskova money is coming in hard, with volume running 36x normal and her price up 24 points.
- They bought at 88¢ and the market has already moved to 92¢, suggesting the trade is following strong momentum.
$1,669 on Karolina Pliskova | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable bettor riding steam
Profitable high-volume wallet bought $6.15k of Pliskova into a 36x volume spike and 24-point price move, suggesting strong pre-match steam.
- This high-volume bettor is up $1.4M lifetime across $83M invested.
- They bought $6.15k of Karolina Pliskova at 86¢, and the market has already moved to 92¢.
- The market saw a 36x volume spike while Pliskova’s price jumped 24 points.
$6,154 on Karolina Pliskova | Wallet win rate: 53%
87% winner bought early
Sharp tennis bettor with an 87% win rate and $119k lifetime profit bought Karolina Pliskova at 66¢ before the market moved to 86¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $119k lifetime.
- They are a proven serial sports trader across 84 events with the same 87% win rate.
- Entry at 66¢ moved quickly to 86¢, suggesting the market has already followed their side.
$5,366 on Karolina Pliskova | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable wallets on Pliskova
A modest Pliskova-side cluster is worth surfacing because two highly profitable wallets bought directly during a 74x pre-match volume spike, though opposing Bejlek flow and one profit-taking leg reduce conviction.
- Two highly profitable wallets bought Pliskova directly, including accounts up $15.8M and $613k lifetime.
- Pre-match volume jumped 74x, and this cluster added $5.9k on the Pliskova side.
- Average entry was about 49¢ versus 65¢ now, so the trade is most attractive on a pullback.
$5,866 on Karolina Pliskova
87% winner backing Pliskova
Sharp tennis bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and $166k lifetime profit bought Pliskova as her price moved sharply upward.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $166k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader with $555k deployed across 161 events.
- Pliskova’s price jumped about 26 points, and this buy came at 65¢ during the move.
$2,235 on Karolina Pliskova | Wallet win rate: 87%
Sharp flow into Bejlek
Strong one-sided Bejlek flow from three wallets, including an 87% winner and a large profitable serial trader, with volume and price momentum confirming the move.
- A bettor who wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $166.8K moved toward Bejlek.
- A large serial trader up $3.7M lifetime bought $10.3K of Bejlek.
- Three wallets put $13.7K on the same side as volume spiked 74x.
$13,697 on Sara Bejlek
87% winner backing Pliskova
Sharp tennis bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and $166k lifetime profit bought Pliskova as her price moved sharply upward.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $166k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader with $555k deployed across 161 events.
- Pliskova’s price jumped about 26 points, and this buy came at 65¢ during the move.
$3,033 on Karolina Pliskova | Wallet win rate: 87%
87% winner backing Pliskova
Sharp tennis bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and $166k lifetime profit bought Pliskova as her price moved sharply upward.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $166k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader with $555k deployed across 161 events.
- Pliskova’s price jumped about 26 points, and this buy came at 65¢ during the move.
$1,100 on Karolina Pliskova | Wallet win rate: 87%
Proven bettor riding breakout
Proven profitable bettor bought Sara Bejlek before a major price breakout from the prior range.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $12.9K lifetime.
- They bought Sara Bejlek at 66¢ before the price jumped to 76¢.
- The market broke far above its prior 27–32¢ range, showing strong momentum behind the same side.
$1,092 on Sara Bejlek | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Sara Bejlek, $26,485 (94% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Karolina Pliskova, $20,143 (65% win rate)
- 0xc3ac...b964 — Karolina Pliskova, $10,293 (59% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Karolina Pliskova, $9,475 (80% win rate)
- 0x4064...5f1e — Karolina Pliskova, $8,141 (87% win rate)
- 0xf9d6...910d — Sara Bejlek, $7,748 (79% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Sara Bejlek, $5,858 (54% win rate)
- 0x2dba...1d6c — Sara Bejlek, $3,766 (93% win rate)
- 0x0c99...0c88 — Sara Bejlek, $3,000 (49% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Sara Bejlek, $2,997 (55% win rate)
Related Theses
Knicks win big over Spurs
Covers 12 related markets
Spurs win in a blowout
Covers 18 related markets
Spurs blow out Knicks
Covers 17 related markets
Knicks win in a blowout
Covers 4 related markets
Spurs crush the Thunder
Covers 4 related markets
Braves win by five plus
Covers 4 related markets
Yankees win by five-plus
Covers 4 related markets
Knicks rout the Cavaliers
Covers 6 related markets
Spurs upset the Thunder
Covers 3 related markets
