Part of: Nuggets vs. Thunder

Nuggets vs. Thunder

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 22 at 9:30PM ET: If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $97,363.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball, NBA Tip-Off

Notable Trades

13-wallet Thunder cluster; proven trader mukana

Thirteen wallets put $53,188 on Thunder amid a 23x volume spike, with corroboration from a serial trader with a 72% win rate, though a sizable Nuggets-buying cluster creates counterflow.

  • Thirteen wallets bought Thunder for a combined $53,188, while the market has risen 9% in a day.
  • A serial cross-market trader with a 72% win rate has a substantial track record and is among the supporting signals.
  • The flow is not unanimous: seven wallets also bought Nuggets for $32,006, so there is meaningful opposing interest.

$60,754 on Thunder

Profitable bettors backing Nuggets

Three highly profitable wallets bought Nuggets for $12.4K, including bettors with strong records and a serial cross-market trader, though sizable Thunder buying shows opposing conviction.

  • Three wallets put $12,422 on Nuggets, with two showing 72% and 73% win rates across substantial track records.
  • Those two bettors report combined profits above $8 million; their Nuggets entries ranged from 32¢ to 38¢.
  • The move has opposition: 17 wallets also bought Thunder for $52,225.

$14,262 on Nuggets

Sharp bettor joins 17-wallet Thunder flow

A proven bettor with a 79% win rate added to Thunder alongside 16 other wallets in a $52,225 one-sided cluster and a sharp volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 79% of 370 resolved trades and is up $118,760.
  • Seventeen wallets bought Thunder for a combined $52,225, alongside an 18.9× volume spike.
  • The wallet added at 72¢; Thunder is currently priced at 62¢.

$2,160 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 78%

Proven sharp scaling into Thunder

A proven 79%-winning bettor with a substantial historical edge is adding to a large Thunder position and has traded across 200 events.

  • This bettor has won 79% of 529 resolved trades and is up $155,640.
  • They added $5,953 to an existing Thunder position, bringing their investment to over $14,000.
  • The wallet has traded across 200 events, with a reported 18-point edge over average odds.

$5,953 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 79%

94% winner backing Thunder

A highly profitable bettor with 592 resolved positions and a 42-point edge is backing Thunder for $5,863.

  • This bettor has won 554 of 592 resolved positions and is up $5.26M.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader active across 166 events, now putting $5,863 on Thunder at 74¢.

$5,863 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 92%

Proven 89% winner backs Thunder

A highly profitable bettor with 3,364 resolved positions and an 89% win rate is backing Thunder at 74¢.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 3,364 resolved positions and is up $6.3 million.
  • They are putting $5,500 on Thunder at 74¢, with a long history of trading across events.

$5,500 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 88%

Serial trader with 90% win rate

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 90% win rate added to an existing Thunder position at 74¢.

  • This bettor has won 90% of 338 resolved trades and is up $213,778.
  • They added $2,872 to an existing Thunder position at 74¢, bringing their reported investment on this market to about $6,752.
  • The wallet has traded across 213 events, suggesting a sustained record beyond this single game.

$2,872 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 — Nuggets, $152,985 (64% win rate)
  2. 0xc58d...9373 — Nuggets, $46,597 (57% win rate)
  3. 0xbe23...b587 — Nuggets, $38,253 (78% win rate)
  4. 0x8b9a...5f69 — Nuggets, $20,512
  5. 0xcf6c...7e66 — Nuggets, $11,519 (81% win rate)
  6. 0x9368...f390 — Nuggets, $11,111 (100% win rate)
  7. 0xa39a...1246 — Nuggets, $10,597 (74% win rate)
  8. 0x9703...69c2 — Nuggets, $9,985 (76% win rate)
  9. 0x54ba...04e4 — Nuggets, $8,946 (73% win rate)
  10. 0x21b7...c861 — Nuggets, $7,951 (48% win rate)

Related Theses

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Rams win by at least four

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Nuggets vs. Thunder

Nuggets vs. Thunder$97,363 tracked7 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketballNBA Tip-Off
Nuggets
0¢
Thunder
100¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 22 at 9:30PM ET: If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

DEN
84
0-1
Final
Paycom Center
OKC
96
2-0
Draft Kings
Spread: OKC -7.5O/U: 236.5ML: +270/-340
Win Prob
—
Poly: 0¢
Last Play
—

Notable Trades

Nuggets vs. Thunder

2026-10-23 03:41 UTC

$60,754 on Thunder at 64¢

64¢→100¢↑36¢

Nuggets vs. Thunder

2026-10-23 03:44 UTC

$14,262 on Nuggets at 37¢

Nuggets vs. Thunder

2026-10-23 02:08 UTC

$2,160 on Thunder at 72¢

72¢→100¢↑28¢

Nuggets vs. Thunder

2026-10-23 02:05 UTC

$5,953 on Thunder at 73¢

73¢→100¢↑27¢

Nuggets vs. Thunder

2026-10-23 00:46 UTC

$5,863 on Thunder at 74¢

74¢→100¢↑26¢

Nuggets vs. Thunder

2026-10-22 23:30 UTC

$5,500 on Thunder at 74¢

74¢→100¢↑26¢

Nuggets vs. Thunder

2026-10-22 21:26 UTC

$2,872 on Thunder at 74¢

74¢→100¢↑26¢

Related Theses