Part of: UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)

O/U 1.5 Rounds

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,401.

Notable Trades

Profitable new UFC bettor

Profitable repeat new wallet bought Under at 44¢ before a major move to 90¢, suggesting a strong early edge despite the small resolved sample.

This 29-day-old bettor is 5-for-5 on resolved bets and up $8.7k so far.
They have now triggered 8 large-bet alerts totaling $21.4k, showing a repeat conviction pattern.
They bought Under at 44¢ and the market has since moved to 90¢.

$1,320 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettor in Over cluster

Surfacing despite the bad subsequent price move because a highly profitable 92% lifetime bettor joined a 4-wallet same-direction cluster, though the market has moved sharply against the trade.

One wallet in this cluster wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $320k lifetime.
Four wallets bought the same side for $8k total in a market with only $1.4k liquidity.
Caution: they entered at 57¢, but Over has since fallen to 10¢.

$8,035 on Over

48-0 sharp UFC bettor

Sharp UFC bettor with a 48-0 resolved record and strong cross-market history bought Over 1.5 rounds for meaningful size.

This bettor is 48-for-48 on resolved positions and up $55.6K lifetime.
They have a strong cross-market record: 34 events, 40 markets, and $131K traded with no recorded losses.
They bought $2.85K of Over at 57¢, suggesting conviction despite the market drifting slightly down.

$6,046 on Over | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

0x0297...fcdc — Outcome 65825856, $19,983
0xa8e6...d471 — Outcome 65825856, $5,000 (99% win rate)
0x6157...9fb4 — Outcome 65825856, $4,386 (92% win rate)
0xca4e...f97e — Outcome 65825856, $3,450 (99% win rate)
0xf9b7...60a4 — Outcome 65825856, $2,500 (64% win rate)
0x1025...7e11 — Outcome 65825856, $1,240 (74% win rate)
0x5e30...acbf — Outcome 65825856, $937 (80% win rate)
0xd8db...ccfb — Outcome 65825856, $538 (61% win rate)
0xf59e...f0bf — Outcome 65825856, $431 (87% win rate)
0x18b6...babf — Outcome 65825856, $408

Related Theses

Iran New Zealand stays low-scoring

Covers 2 related markets

O/U 1.5 Rounds

ResolvedUFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)$15,401 tracked3 signalsSportsUFCGames

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Kyle Daukaus and Bo Nickal at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Kyle Daukaus and Bo Nickal at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 28, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.