Part of: UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)

O/U 1.5 Rounds

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,401.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable new UFC bettor

Profitable repeat new wallet bought Under at 44¢ before a major move to 90¢, suggesting a strong early edge despite the small resolved sample.

  • This 29-day-old bettor is 5-for-5 on resolved bets and up $8.7k so far.
  • They have now triggered 8 large-bet alerts totaling $21.4k, showing a repeat conviction pattern.
  • They bought Under at 44¢ and the market has since moved to 90¢.

$1,320 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettor in Over cluster

Surfacing despite the bad subsequent price move because a highly profitable 92% lifetime bettor joined a 4-wallet same-direction cluster, though the market has moved sharply against the trade.

  • One wallet in this cluster wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $320k lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought the same side for $8k total in a market with only $1.4k liquidity.
  • Caution: they entered at 57¢, but Over has since fallen to 10¢.

$8,035 on Over

48-0 sharp UFC bettor

Sharp UFC bettor with a 48-0 resolved record and strong cross-market history bought Over 1.5 rounds for meaningful size.

  • This bettor is 48-for-48 on resolved positions and up $55.6K lifetime.
  • They have a strong cross-market record: 34 events, 40 markets, and $131K traded with no recorded losses.
  • They bought $2.85K of Over at 57¢, suggesting conviction despite the market drifting slightly down.

$6,046 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0297...fcdc Outcome 65825856, $19,983
  2. 0xa8e6...d471 Outcome 65825856, $5,000 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x6157...9fb4 Outcome 65825856, $4,386 (92% win rate)
  4. 0xf68a...5b1b Outcome 65825856, $4,334 (51% win rate)
  5. 0xca4e...f97e Outcome 65825856, $3,450 (100% win rate)
  6. 0xf9b7...60a4 Outcome 65825856, $2,500 (62% win rate)
  7. 0x5108...29cb Outcome 65825856, $1,754 (86% win rate)
  8. 0x1025...7e11 Outcome 65825856, $1,240 (74% win rate)
  9. 0x2794...5835 Outcome 49576923, $1,134
  10. 0x87b6...4aba Outcome 65825856, $1,000 (82% win rate)

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O/U 1.5 Rounds

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Kyle Daukaus and Bo Nickal at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Kyle Daukaus and Bo Nickal at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 28, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “Under
101¢
70¢
39¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

O/U 1.5 Rounds

2h ago

$1,320 on Under at 44¢

O/U 1.5 Rounds

2h ago

$8,035 on Over at 57¢

O/U 1.5 Rounds

2h ago

$6,046 on Over at 57¢

Related Theses