Part of: UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

O/U 1.5 Rounds

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $23,530.

Categories: UFC, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Quiet-market MMA whale

Large $23.5k Under bet dwarfs recent market activity and comes from a bettor with an 80% resolved hit rate, though lifetime P&L is negative.

  • A seasoned bettor put $23.5k on Under, about 25x this market’s 24h volume.
  • This wallet has won 12 of 15 resolved bets, though its overall P&L is negative.
  • Entry at 44¢ suggests they see meaningful upside versus the current market price.

$23,530 on Under | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9243...658e Outcome 85478256, $100,000 (87% win rate)
  2. 0xdaef...54e9 Outcome 85478256, $5,000 (66% win rate)
  3. 0x224f...514a Outcome 85478256, $636 (84% win rate)
  4. 0xb3f0...c8a6 Outcome 85478256, $357 (52% win rate)
  5. 0x21f3...35e3 Outcome 85478256, $339 (74% win rate)
  6. 0x12af...ff78 Outcome 85478256, $135 (87% win rate)
  7. 0x18b6...babf Outcome 85478256, $98 (93% win rate)
  8. 0x7305...0c7b Outcome 85478256, $24
  9. 0xdb46...56e7 Outcome 85478256, $22
  10. 0x13ea...5f0b Outcome 26185871, $17

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Ghana keeps it close

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Uruguay ekes out 1-0 win

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Portugal wins July 2

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France-Senegal stays under 3.5

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Brazil won't lead at half

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Egypt fails to win

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Norway England corners stay under

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Spain Cabo Verde stay under corners

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Alexandrova beats Potapova

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Morocco Haiti stays low scoring

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O/U 1.5 Rounds

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Steve Garcia and Diego Lopes at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Steve Garcia and Diego Lopes at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 28, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

O/U 1.5 Rounds

70d ago

$23,530 on Under at 44¢

Related Theses