Part of: UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)

O/U 2.5 Rounds

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,022.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

$3M-profit serial bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor is taking Under in a thin UFC rounds market at 37¢.

  • This bettor is up $3.0M across 446 resolved bets.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $9.5M tracked across 310 events and a 59% win rate.
  • The $1.0K buy was large for this quiet market and entered Under at 37¢, now around 39¢.

$1,022 on Under | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

  1. 0x777d...5143 Outcome 90916209, $4,055 (60% win rate)
  2. 0x21f3...35e3 Outcome 90916209, $194 (74% win rate)
  3. 0x8490...ac46 Outcome 90916209, $119
  4. 0x961a...e91c Outcome 90916209, $108
  5. 0x18b6...babf Outcome 90916209, $93
  6. 0xe0b5...a0d7 Outcome 90916209, $49
  7. 0x9a0c...14ce Outcome 90916209, $38
  8. 0x4aab...38cc Outcome 90916209, $34
  9. 0x0cf0...bae3 Outcome 90916209, $27
  10. 0x9ce3...50cb Outcome 90916209, $14

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Topuria beats Gaethje

Covers 1 related market

Sparks Mercury game goes over

Covers 1 related market

Connecticut Sun beat Seattle

Covers 1 related market

Valkyries Fever stay under

Covers 1 related market

Wings Dream game goes over

Covers 1 related market

Spurs beat the Thunder

Covers 1 related market

Thunder win by double digits

Covers 1 related market

Blue Jays Yankees stay under

Covers 1 related market

Fight ends early

Covers 1 related market

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Daniel Barez and Luis Gurule at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Daniel Barez and Luis Gurule at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

O/U 2.5 Rounds

63d ago

$1,022 on Under at 37¢

Related Theses