Part of: UFC 330: Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)

O/U 2.5 Rounds

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $18,685.

Categories: Sports, Games, UFC

Notable Trades

Serial whale backing Under

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader made an unusually large Under bet at a price well below their strong historical win rate.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 606 resolved trades and is up $5.49 million lifetime.
  • The $18,685 Under bet was over 85 times the detected 24-hour scan volume, showing strong conviction.
  • The trader has participated across 526 markets and 475 events, making this more notable than an isolated wager.

$18,685 on Under | Wallet win rate: 68%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcf3c...e7cb Outcome 16823328, $4,694 (57% win rate)
  2. 0x17b8...d5d1 Outcome 16823328, $2,575 (73% win rate)
  3. 0x45c7...a35d Outcome 16823328, $250
  4. 0x21f3...35e3 Outcome 16823328, $103 (74% win rate)
  5. 0x5c54...f1d2 Outcome 16823328, $86
  6. 0xaf48...10ca Outcome 16823328, $61
  7. 0xe961...8dca Outcome 16823328, $29
  8. 0xeab7...b389 Outcome 16823328, $5

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O/U 2.5 Rounds

Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 29, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

O/U 2.5 Rounds

8d ago

$18,685 on Under at 53¢

Related Theses