Part of: UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

O/U 2.5 Rounds

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $73,094.

Notable Trades

81% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 81% win rate and $1.84M in profits just bought Under at 57¢ in this UFC rounds market.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $1.84M across 411 markets
They trade heavily across related events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
They bought Under at 57¢ in a market with decent liquidity, a clear directional position from a proven winner

$6,751 on Under | Wallet win rate: 80%

81% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 81% win rate and $1.84M P&L made a sizable fresh buy on Under in a market that had seen almost no prior trading, making this a strong copy-trade signal.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $1.84M lifetime across 411 settled markets.
They bought $3.7k of Under at 55¢ in a market that had only $32 of 24-hour volume before this trade.
This wallet has traded 410 markets across 390 events, showing a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.

$3,679 on Under | Wallet win rate: 80%

Linked UFC Under cluster

Three wallets piled $62.7k into Under in an otherwise inactive UFC rounds market, including two linked wallets and two high-volume bettors with positive long-run results, making this coordinated flow worth surfacing.

Three wallets bought $62.7k of Under within seconds, including two linked wallets funding the same thesis.
This market had only $32 of 24h volume before these buys, so this cluster effectively created the move with real size.
Two of the wallets have large betting histories and are profitable overall, including one up about $700k across 385 resolved trades.

$62,665 on Under

Top Holders

0x2f2b...0f9a — Outcome 25432948, $623 (94% win rate)
0x23ef...1d4c — Outcome 25432948, $600 (52% win rate)
0x4523...7ade — Outcome 25432948, $272
0xa40f...70dc — Outcome 25432948, $228
0xd3b2...2171 — Outcome 25432948, $200 (47% win rate)
0xdc3f...f038 — Outcome 25432948, $120
0x9258...8610 — Outcome 25432948, $107
0x16f8...31e9 — Outcome 25432948, $82
0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 25432948, $78 (74% win rate)
0x1cdd...e595 — Outcome 25432948, $52

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

O/U 2.5 Rounds

ResolvedUFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)$73,094 tracked3 signalsSportsUFCGames

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Mandel Nallo and Jai Herbert at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Mandel Nallo and Jai Herbert at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 2, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.