Part of: UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
This Polymarket tracks whether Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira at UFC Freedom 250 will last beyond 2.5 rounds, meaning past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,327 in smart money across 1 signal, with recent sharp activity favoring the Over. The market is scheduled to resolve after the fight, with a listed resolution date of June 15, 2026.
Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Ciryl Gane and Alex Pereira at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Ciryl Gane and Alex Pereira at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 28, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,584.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp UFC round bettor
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 82% resolved win rate and $232k lifetime profit bought Under 2.5 rounds at 39¢.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $232k lifetime.
- They have traded across 79 events and over $1.0M in volume, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Buying Under at 39¢ goes against the current 60% Over price, implying a focused contrarian read on the fight length.
$1,327 on Under | Wallet win rate: 82%
96% winner buying Over
Elite profitable UFC/sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and $1.22M lifetime profit is buying Over 2.5 rounds at 60¢.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.22M lifetime.
- They have traded 131 events across 149 markets with the same 96% hit rate.
- Entry at 60¢ implies they see value despite the market already leaning Over.
$2,257 on Over | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Under, $13,715 (64% win rate)
- 0x9fd6...1fa0 — Over, $12,147 (73% win rate)
- 0x274c...da86 — Under, $6,250 (59% win rate)
- 0xf438...9559 — Over, $5,760 (88% win rate)
- 0x9fad...5a9f — Under, $4,532 (35% win rate)
- 0xd81e...e3d0 — Over, $3,807 (96% win rate)
- 0x1518...2652 — Over, $3,500
- 0x12af...ff78 — Under, $3,454 (82% win rate)
- 0xe94b...5abe — Over, $1,300 (73% win rate)
- 0x9cf8...7f09 — Over, $500
Related Theses
Spurs cover, game stays under
Covers 3 related markets
