Part of: UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
This prediction market tracks whether the Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz fight at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa will last beyond 2.5 rounds. It resolves after the May 16, 2026 bout, with “Over” winning if the fight passes the 2:30 mark of Round 3 and “Under” winning if it ends before then. PolySpotter is tracking $8,199 in smart money and 1 recent smart money signal on this market.
Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Malcolm Wellmaker and Juan Diaz at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Malcolm Wellmaker and Juan Diaz at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $8,199.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
Highly profitable serial sports bettor bought $8.2k of Over on a relatively quiet UFC rounds market, making up most of the day’s volume.
- This bettor is up about $3.0M lifetime with a 59% record across 446 resolved bets.
- They bought $8.2k of Over at 49¢, more than the market’s entire prior daily volume.
- This is a quiet UFC market, so a bet this large suggests strong conviction.
$8,199 on Over | Wallet win rate: 59%
Top Holders
- 0x9495...9a27 — Under, $18,501 (64% win rate)
- 0x777d...5143 — Over, $16,896 (59% win rate)
- 0xd100...853d — Over, $1,101 (49% win rate)
- 0x8098...5646 — Over, $853
- 0xeb2e...7821 — Under, $632
- 0xca8d...45a3 — Over, $383
- 0xf3f7...8c35 — Over, $382
- 0x32cc...68b3 — Over, $382 (53% win rate)
- 0xe9ac...8de4 — Over, $268 (60% win rate)
- 0x5e30...acbf — Under, $228 (73% win rate)
Related Theses
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