Part of: UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)

O/U 2.5 Rounds

This prediction market tracks whether the Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz fight at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa will last beyond 2.5 rounds. It resolves after the May 16, 2026 bout, with “Over” winning if the fight passes the 2:30 mark of Round 3 and “Under” winning if it ends before then. PolySpotter is tracking $8,199 in smart money and 1 recent smart money signal on this market.

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Malcolm Wellmaker and Juan Diaz at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Malcolm Wellmaker and Juan Diaz at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $8,199.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Highly profitable serial sports bettor bought $8.2k of Over on a relatively quiet UFC rounds market, making up most of the day’s volume.

  • This bettor is up about $3.0M lifetime with a 59% record across 446 resolved bets.
  • They bought $8.2k of Over at 49¢, more than the market’s entire prior daily volume.
  • This is a quiet UFC market, so a bet this large suggests strong conviction.

$8,199 on Over | Wallet win rate: 59%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9495...9a27 Under, $18,501 (64% win rate)
  2. 0x777d...5143 Over, $16,896 (59% win rate)
  3. 0xd100...853d Over, $1,101 (49% win rate)
  4. 0x8098...5646 Over, $853
  5. 0xeb2e...7821 Under, $632
  6. 0xca8d...45a3 Over, $383
  7. 0xf3f7...8c35 Over, $382
  8. 0x32cc...68b3 Over, $382 (53% win rate)
  9. 0xe9ac...8de4 Over, $268 (60% win rate)
  10. 0x5e30...acbf Under, $228 (73% win rate)

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O/U 2.5 Rounds

Over
0¢
Under
100¢

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Malcolm Wellmaker and Juan Diaz at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Malcolm Wellmaker and Juan Diaz at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “Under
102¢
75¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

O/U 2.5 Rounds

2h ago

$8,199 on Over at 49¢

49¢0¢49¢

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