This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $61k lifetime. They have traded 966 markets across 722 events with $1.17M total volume. They bought Yes at 85¢ before the market jumped to 96¢.

A brand-new wallet is already making repeated large bets, with 14 flagged trades totaling $56k. This $4.5k position is about half of the market’s daily volume, showing strong conviction in a thin market. Selling Ecuador Yes at 50¢ is effectively backing No at 50¢, while the market now prices No around 54¢.

Part of: Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia

Will Ecuador win on 2026-05-30?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,506.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, Fifa Friendly, Games

Notable Trades

84% serial winner

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate bought Ecuador Yes at 85¢ before it moved to 96¢.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $61k lifetime.
They have traded 966 markets across 722 events with $1.17M total volume.
They bought Yes at 85¢ before the market jumped to 96¢.

$1,205 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

83% winner buying momentum

Sharp sports bettor with an 83% record and positive lifetime P&L is buying Ecuador Yes after strong market momentum.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $34,414 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 59 events, with $157k in tracked volume.
Ecuador Yes has already moved 17 points today, and this sharp wallet is still buying at 81¢.

$2,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%

15-hour repeat whale

A 15-hour-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets is effectively backing No with a $4.5k trade that equals about half of the market's daily volume.

A brand-new wallet is already making repeated large bets, with 14 flagged trades totaling $56k.
This $4.5k position is about half of the market’s daily volume, showing strong conviction in a thin market.
Selling Ecuador Yes at 50¢ is effectively backing No at 50¢, while the market now prices No around 54¢.

$4,506 on No | Wallet win rate: 22%

New whale on thin match

A 15-hour-old wallet has made repeated large bets totaling $47k and put $4.6k on Ecuador Yes in a very thin market.

A 15-hour-old wallet is already betting big, with $47k flagged across 12 large trades.
This $4.6k buy was over half of the market’s 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a thin book.
Entry at 51¢ implies the bettor sees Ecuador as more likely than the current 46¢ market price.

$4,596 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 22%

Top Holders

0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 11283313, $6,669 (70% win rate)
0x9d94...017d — Outcome 11283313, $2,247
0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 11283313, $1,575 (70% win rate)
0x1a59...a57e — Outcome 11283313, $864
0x2712...eb71 — Outcome 11283313, $772
0xbca3...f975 — Outcome 11283313, $376
0x03ba...beba — Outcome 11283313, $306
0x8dd8...9a1c — Outcome 11283313, $240 (57% win rate)
0xcc48...c120 — Outcome 11283313, $175 (97% win rate)
0x2f26...0d8f — Outcome 11283313, $148

Related Theses

France or Spain win, not Argentina/England

Covers 4 related markets

France will defeat England

Covers 1 related market

Will Ecuador win on 2026-05-30?

ResolvedEcuador vs. Saudi Arabia$12,506 tracked4 signalsSportsSoccerFifa FriendlyGames

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 30, 2026 If Ecuador wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.