Oeiras 3: Gastao Elias vs Joel Schwaerzler
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Oeiras 3 tennis match between Gastao Elias and Joel Schwaerzler, scheduled for April 13 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, and if the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed more than 7 days, special resolution rules apply. PolySpotter is tracking $41,574 in smart money activity on this market, including signals tied to sharp sports bettors.
This market refers on the tennis match between Gastao Elias and Joel Schwaerzler in the Oeiras 3, scheduled for April 13 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gastao Elias' if Gastao Elias advances against Joel Schwaerzler. This market will resolve to 'Joel Schwaerzler' if Joel Schwaerzler advances against Gastao Elias. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $45,282.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
7-wallet linked tennis pile-in
Seven wallets, including five linked to the same funder, piled $41.6k into Joel Schwaerzler at 64¢ in a synchronized burst and the market has already moved to 74¢, making this coordinated tennis flow worth surfacing despite mixed individual wallet edges.
- Seven wallets all bought Joel Schwaerzler within seconds, totaling $41.6k, and five are linked to the same funder.
- They got in at 64¢ and the market is now 74¢, so this coordinated bet moved early and is already up 10 points.
- Several wallets are high-volume repeat traders across 150+ events, suggesting this was a deliberate shared view rather than a random punt.
$41,574 on Joel Schwaerzler
96% win-rate sports sharp
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 96% win rate and nearly 1,500 resolved positions is backing Joel Schwaerzler at 90¢, making this a strong follow signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 96% of 1,430 resolved trades and is up nearly $68k lifetime
- They trade this pattern repeatedly across 42 events, suggesting a real edge rather than a one-off bet
- Bought Joel Schwaerzler at 90¢, showing they still saw value even with the market already heavily favored
$1,196 on Joel Schwaerzler | Wallet win rate: 96%
Proven sharp on underdog
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate bought the underdog at 15¢, and the price has already moved up to 20¢.
- This bettor has won 1,586 of 2,170 resolved trades and is up $3.8M lifetime
- They bought Gastao Elias at 15¢ and the market has already moved to 20¢
- This wallet has a long record across 611 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
$2,511 on Gastao Elias | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Gastao Elias, $18,956 (73% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Joel Schwaerzler, $18,691 (55% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Joel Schwaerzler, $17,113 (53% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Gastao Elias, $14,160 (50% win rate)
- 0x3b5c...126e — Joel Schwaerzler, $9,892 (80% win rate)
- 0x5d1d...afd2 — Joel Schwaerzler, $5,275 (55% win rate)
- 0x198f...c419 — Gastao Elias, $4,636 (48% win rate)
- 0x2302...d6d2 — Joel Schwaerzler, $3,637 (56% win rate)
- 0xd809...6542 — Gastao Elias, $3,538 (59% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Gastao Elias, $3,351
