Part of: Oeiras 3: Gastao Elias vs Joel Schwaerzler

Oeiras 3: Gastao Elias vs Joel Schwaerzler

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $45,282.

Notable Trades

7-wallet linked tennis pile-in

Seven wallets, including five linked to the same funder, piled $41.6k into Joel Schwaerzler at 64¢ in a synchronized burst and the market has already moved to 74¢, making this coordinated tennis flow worth surfacing despite mixed individual wallet edges.

Seven wallets all bought Joel Schwaerzler within seconds, totaling $41.6k, and five are linked to the same funder.
They got in at 64¢ and the market is now 74¢, so this coordinated bet moved early and is already up 10 points.
Several wallets are high-volume repeat traders across 150+ events, suggesting this was a deliberate shared view rather than a random punt.

$41,574 on Joel Schwaerzler

96% win-rate sports sharp

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 96% win rate and nearly 1,500 resolved positions is backing Joel Schwaerzler at 90¢, making this a strong follow signal despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 96% of 1,430 resolved trades and is up nearly $68k lifetime
They trade this pattern repeatedly across 42 events, suggesting a real edge rather than a one-off bet
Bought Joel Schwaerzler at 90¢, showing they still saw value even with the market already heavily favored

$1,196 on Joel Schwaerzler | Wallet win rate: 97%

Proven sharp on underdog

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate bought the underdog at 15¢, and the price has already moved up to 20¢.

This bettor has won 1,586 of 2,170 resolved trades and is up $3.8M lifetime
They bought Gastao Elias at 15¢ and the market has already moved to 20¢
This wallet has a long record across 611 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet

$2,511 on Gastao Elias | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 86165399, $18,956 (71% win rate)
0x4b49...0397 — Outcome 86165399, $2,031 (77% win rate)
0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 86165399, $1,749
0x6bb5...a518 — Outcome 86165399, $640 (44% win rate)
0x285b...f3d3 — Outcome 86165399, $559
0x22d2...82d7 — Outcome 86165399, $195
0x0ffe...9150 — Outcome 86165399, $169
0x9086...4d46 — Outcome 86165399, $147
0x4eb6...9ce6 — Outcome 86165399, $72
0x53ae...f71e — Outcome 86165399, $60

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Oeiras 3: Gastao Elias vs Joel Schwaerzler

ResolvedOeiras 3: Gastao Elias vs Joel Schwaerzler$45,282 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers on the tennis match between Gastao Elias and Joel Schwaerzler in the Oeiras 3, scheduled for April 13 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gastao Elias' if Gastao Elias advances against Joel Schwaerzler. This market will resolve to 'Joel Schwaerzler' if Joel Schwaerzler advances against Gastao Elias. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.