Part of: Ohio State vs. Texas
Ohio State vs. Texas
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $160,735.
Categories: Sports, CFB, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor doubles down on Ohio State
A highly profitable sharp bettor with an 89% win rate and substantial edge added $118,833 to an existing Ohio State position at 87%.
- This bettor wins 89% of 914 resolved trades while entering at an average 59% price.
- They added $118,833 at 87% despite already holding $136,590, showing strong continued conviction.
- Ohio State has since moved to 90%, corroborating the bettor’s position.
$118,833 on Ohio State | Wallet win rate: 89%
Sharp bettor takes Ohio State profits
A highly profitable serial trader sold Ohio State after a substantial gain, and the trade coincided with a sharp price decline, though it may be profit-taking rather than fresh Texas conviction.
- This bettor has won 84% of 239 resolved positions and is up $302,400 lifetime.
- The $1,340 sale followed an Ohio State position bought at 48¢ and closed near 67¢, so it may reflect profit-taking rather than a new bearish bet.
- A 30.5x volume spike and 14-point rapid price move accompanied the trade, making the shift worth monitoring.
$1,340 on Texas | Wallet win rate: 84%
Three profitable wallets backing Ohio State
A coordinated $15,000 Ohio State buy from three highly experienced profitable wallets coincides with a 30.5x volume spike, though some trades appear to be position management rather than entirely fresh conviction.
- Three wallets committed nearly $15,000 to Ohio State, including traders with 66% win rates and millions in lifetime profit.
- Trading volume surged to 30.5 times its historical average while Ohio State has risen 16% over the week.
- The signal is partly established-position management: one wallet is adding to Ohio State, while another already holds Texas and Ohio State exposure.
$16,421 on Ohio State
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly active, profitable bettor with 544 resolved trades and $613,232 in profits opened a fresh Texas position at 46%, though the market is liquid and the trade lacks a specific near-term catalyst.
- This bettor has won 72% of 544 resolved trades and is up $613,232 lifetime.
- They opened a fresh $1,540 Texas position at 46%, while the market currently implies 44%.
- The wallet has traded across 663 events and 704 markets, providing substantial evidence of repeat market experience.
$1,735 on Texas | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly active, profitable bettor with 544 resolved trades and $613,232 in profits opened a fresh Texas position at 46%, though the market is liquid and the trade lacks a specific near-term catalyst.
- This bettor has won 72% of 544 resolved trades and is up $613,232 lifetime.
- They opened a fresh $1,540 Texas position at 46%, while the market currently implies 44%.
- The wallet has traded across 663 events and 704 markets, providing substantial evidence of repeat market experience.
$1,540 on Texas | Wallet win rate: 71%
90% winner backs Texas
A highly profitable bettor with a 90% win rate and substantial edge joined two other Texas buyers at 54%, creating a meaningful one-sided signal.
- The lead bettor wins 90% of 195 resolved bets, is up $471,187, and typically wins after entering around 50¢.
- Three wallets bought $5,716 of Texas at 54%, with two adding to existing Texas positions.
- Texas is only modestly favored at 54%, leaving meaningful upside if this sharp bettor’s assessment is right.
$16,090 on Texas
Sharp bettor adds to Texas
A highly profitable bettor with a 90% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding to an existing Texas position at 54%.
- This bettor has won 90% of 20 resolved trades and is up $56,409 overall.
- They are adding $2,899 to an existing Texas position at 54%, signaling increased conviction.
- Texas is priced near the bettor’s average winning entry price of 44%, leaving room for a potentially mispriced position.
$1,878 on Texas | Wallet win rate: 87%
Sharp bettor adds to Texas
A highly profitable bettor with a 90% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding to an existing Texas position at 54%.
- This bettor has won 90% of 20 resolved trades and is up $56,409 overall.
- They are adding $2,899 to an existing Texas position at 54%, signaling increased conviction.
- Texas is priced near the bettor’s average winning entry price of 44%, leaving room for a potentially mispriced position.
$2,899 on Texas | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0xf28e...cab2 — Outcome 41000997, $136,590 (89% win rate)
- 0x6fbe...d64f — Outcome 41000997, $32,862 (75% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 41000997, $29,094
- 0xcd84...bec6 — Outcome 41000997, $10,870
- 0x418d...88a3 — Outcome 41000997, $10,000 (79% win rate)
- 0x8180...f4da — Outcome 41000997, $10,000 (54% win rate)
- 0xbc70...7f2a — Outcome 41000997, $8,599 (83% win rate)
- 0x0a77...9d74 — Outcome 41000997, $3,478 (66% win rate)
- 0xddb6...b9b3 — Outcome 41000997, $3,347 (87% win rate)
- 0x398f...30f2 — Outcome 41000997, $3,094 (54% win rate)
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