What is the Ostium FDV above $100M prediction market about?

This market predicts whether Ostium’s token fully diluted valuation will be greater than $100 million one day after launch.

How is Ostium’s FDV calculated for this market?

The market uses total token supply multiplied by the token price to determine fully diluted valuation.

When does the Ostium FDV market resolve?

It resolves based on Ostium’s FDV at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following token launch. The listed market resolution date is January 1, 2027.

What are smart money traders signaling on Ostium FDV?

Recent tracked alerts show several sharp or profitable wallet clusters flipping to “No,” suggesting bearish smart-money positioning on Ostium exceeding a $100M FDV.

Part of: Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?

This Polymarket market asks whether Ostium’s token will have a fully diluted valuation above $100 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price, and recent smart-money alerts show linked and profitable wallets flipping to “No.” The listed resolution date is January 1, 2027, with launch defined as the token becoming actively, publicly transferable and tradable.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ostium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ostium doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,573.

Categories: Crypto, Pre-Market, Ostium, FDV

Notable Trades

Sharp linked wallet flips No

Sharp profitable wallet with a 79% record flipped from a closed Yes position into No, backed by linked-wallet clustering and cross-market positioning.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $11.5K lifetime.
They closed a prior Yes position and are now buying No at 46¢, signaling a clear view change.
Three linked wallets share the same funder and have put $3.1K total behind this direction.

$1,657 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

Profitable cluster flips to No

Surface: a profitable 79% wallet in a linked 3-wallet cluster flipped from Yes to buying No on a thin niche crypto launch market.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $5.2K lifetime.
Three linked wallets share a funder and are active around this event, suggesting coordinated conviction.
They closed a Yes position and bought No at 48¢ after a sharp 1-day Yes price jump.

$1,140 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

Sharp funded wallet flips No

Sharp positive-P&L wallet with linked-wallet history flipped into No on a thin crypto FDV market with a trade exceeding half of 24h volume.

This bettor has won 79% of 14 resolved bets and is up $3.5K lifetime.
They closed a Yes position and switched to No at 46¢, suggesting a clear change in view.
The $1.8K No buy was over half of the market’s 24h volume, signaling conviction in a thin market.

$1,776 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%