What does the Ostium FDV above $200M market predict?

It predicts whether Ostium’s token fully diluted valuation will be greater than $200 million one day after the token launches.

How is Ostium’s FDV calculated for this market?

FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by the token price. If that value is above $200 million at the specified time, the market resolves Yes.

When does this Ostium prediction market resolve?

The market checks Ostium’s FDV at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after token launch. The listed resolution date for the market is January 1, 2027.

What smart money activity has PolySpotter tracked on this market?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,135 in smart money exposure across 1 signal, including alerts such as a sharp linked FDV bettor and a 97% winner on a thin market.

Part of: Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Q: What counts as an Ostium token launch?

For this market, the token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to count as launched.

This prediction market asks whether Ostium’s token will have a fully diluted valuation above $200 million one day after launch, measured at 4:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. Current Polymarket odds update live on the market page, with PolySpotter tracking $1,135 in smart money activity across 1 signal. The market resolves based on total token supply multiplied by token price, with the resolution date listed as January 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ostium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ostium doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,391.

Categories: Crypto, Pre-Market, Ostium, FDV

Notable Trades

Sharp linked FDV bettor

Sharp positive-P&L wallet with linked-wallet backing bought Yes on an extremely quiet crypto FDV market, making the trade worth surfacing despite modest size.

This bettor has won 79% of resolved bets and is up $2.8K lifetime.
The buy was nearly 19x the market’s 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
Three wallets share the same funder and have been seen together before, adding weight to the Yes-side positioning.

$1,135 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%

97% winner on thin market

Sharp 97% winner with positive lifetime P&L made a large No bet that dwarfs activity in a very thin crypto FDV market.

This bettor has won 29 of 30 resolved bets and is up about $10.3K lifetime.
Their $1.26K No buy is over 20x the market’s 24h volume, suggesting strong conviction in a quiet market.
The market is thin and crypto-specific, where informed views on launch valuation can matter.

$1,256 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%