Part of: Total commitments for the Laso Finance public sale on MetaDAO

Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

This prediction market asks whether total commitments to the Laso Finance public sale on MetaDAO will exceed $25 million before the raise closes. It resolves based on the “committed” figure shown on the official MetaDAO Laso Finance fundraise page, with resolution scheduled for August 1, 2026. PolySpotter tracks $6,490 in smart money activity on this market, including recent signals from sharp traders leaning NO and newer wallets chasing YES momentum.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Laso Finance raise on MetaDAO exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the “committed” figure displayed on the official Laso Finance sale page at https://www.metadao.fi/projects/laso-finance/fundraise. If the displayed figure reaches the threshold at any point before July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market’s resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,754.

Categories: Crypto, Laso Finance, Public Sales

Notable Trades

Sharp serial trader buying NO

Sharp 80% lifetime wallet with strong cross-market history is buying No against the market after a major odds move and linked-wallet activity.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $36,376 lifetime.
  • They have traded 41 markets across 25 events, including $66,674 across this Laso Finance event.
  • Three linked wallets share the same funder and are positioned on this same No thesis.

$6,490 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Sharp wallet fading surge

Sharp 80% win-rate wallet with strong cross-market history is buying No against a major price surge, backed by linked-wallet and event-level positioning signals.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $36,376 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 25 events, with $224,889 in tracked bets and an 80% hit rate.
  • Buying No at 17¢ goes against a huge Yes rally, suggesting they see the sale threshold as overpriced.

$2,896 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Sharp serial trader buying NO

Sharp 80% lifetime wallet with strong cross-market history is buying No against the market after a major odds move and linked-wallet activity.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $36,376 lifetime.
  • They have traded 41 markets across 25 events, including $66,674 across this Laso Finance event.
  • Three linked wallets share the same funder and are positioned on this same No thesis.

$3,575 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

High-volume trader buys spike

A high-volume cross-market trader made a concentrated Yes buy in a thin niche market that has just moved sharply upward, though the wallet's lifetime P&L is negative.

  • A high-volume cross-market trader bought $6.9k of Yes in a thin market.
  • The bet was large versus recent activity, equal to about 84% of the market’s prior 24h volume.
  • The market has surged about 78 points in the past day, suggesting this buy is part of a sharp momentum move.

$6,856 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%

New wallet chasing sale momentum

Very new wallet is repeatedly buying Yes across the Laso sale markets into a sharp price move on a thin market.

  • This wallet is only about 1 hour old but has already placed $3.6K in related Laso sale bets.
  • The market is thin, and this $1.3K buy equals about 22% of the past day’s volume.
  • Yes has moved up 68 points in 24 hours, matching the direction of this new wallet’s buying.

$1,319 on Yes

Brand-new wallet chasing YES

Brand-new wallet is making repeat YES bets on a thin niche fundraising market that has already moved sharply upward.

  • A 1-hour-old wallet has already made repeat large bets, putting $2.6K into YES here.
  • This is a thin market with only $4.3K liquidity, so the position is large relative to available depth.
  • YES is up 67 points in 24 hours, suggesting this wallet is joining strong momentum around the sale commitments.

$2,620 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0x1635...5624 No, $66,885 (79% win rate)
  2. 0xc13c...a202 Yes, $64,520 (63% win rate)
  3. 0x9c13...0e5a No, $12,000
  4. 0xce1d...1b9b Yes, $10,798 (60% win rate)
  5. 0xb100...6461 Yes, $6,388 (60% win rate)
  6. 0x23f4...c234 No, $4,933 (51% win rate)
  7. 0x0b48...9e7a No, $4,000
  8. 0x9507...7b04 Yes, $3,649 (89% win rate)
  9. 0x8931...a90c Yes, $2,999 (100% win rate)
  10. 0x3b3c...c600 No, $2,100 (35% win rate)

Related Theses

Laso sale under $3M

Covers 9 related markets

No Iran deal by May 31

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

US-Iran deal after June 15

Covers 3 related markets

Hyperbeat tops $25M FDV

Covers 2 related markets

Solstice launches below $100M

Covers 4 related markets

Ostium avoids midrange valuation

Covers 2 related markets

City avoids H1 2027

Covers 2 related markets

Cambria token launches by September

Covers 2 related markets

Cap launches between $50M and $250M

Covers 2 related markets

Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

29dTotal commitments for the Laso Finance public sale on MetaDAO$23,754 tracked6 signalsCryptoLaso FinancePublic Sales
Yes
87¢
No
13¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Laso Finance raise on MetaDAO exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the “committed” figure displayed on the official Laso Finance sale page at https://www.metadao.fi/projects/laso-finance/fundraise. If the displayed figure reaches the threshold at any point before July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market’s resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.

Price History — “Yes
96¢
52¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

7h ago

$6,490 on No at 12¢

12¢13¢1¢

Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

16h ago

$2,896 on No at 17¢

17¢13¢4¢

Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

17h ago

$3,575 on No at 12¢

12¢13¢1¢

Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

17h ago

$6,856 on Yes at 85¢

85¢87¢2¢

Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

20h ago

$1,319 on Yes at 78¢

78¢87¢9¢

Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

20h ago

$2,620 on Yes at 82¢

82¢87¢5¢

Related Theses